I don't see Geale clean KOing Mundine, but I do see him dismantling him over 12 rounds and basically doing what Calzaghe did to Jeff Lacy to win by UD 120-108 on all 3 cards, or thereabouts.
Why's that? I'm comparing apples with apples, i.e. all three at middleweight where they currently are. Soliman beat Wood easier than Mundine did & beat Albert just as easy as Geale. If Geale was so much better than Soliman, he would've disposed of Albert in better fashion. Geale's only recently picked up the level of competition but let's not get too excited. It's 8 years since Sturm fought Oscar and since then he's been on the right side of more than a couple of dubious decisions. Sylvester's never been worth getting excited about. Mundine had the skills but they've deteriorated with age and injury to the point where his fights are almost alway's pick 'ems, even against domestic opponents, middle-aged Yanks and Argie cabbies.
no, your logic is silly, just because soliman and geale both beat the same guy by ud does not mean they are on the same level, mundine and soliman are a rung below geale.
Soliman just beat Lorenzo by easy UD. Lorenzo lost to Sturm in similar fashion. Sylvester barely scraped by Lorenzo via SD. If Soliman was a rung below he wouldn't be getting the results he's getting. Technically Geale is better than Soliman but that means nothing if Soliman can keep getting the W against top ten opponents. Mundine & Soliman stepped up their level of competition much earlier in their respective careers than Geale. When did Geale first fight an Ottke or Kessler level opponent? Mundine's a live chance against Geale.
I think this fight will go the distance. I also think alot of people are wrongly writing Mundine off... I think he is a big chance here!