Pacquiao - Marquez 4 Analysis/Possible Outcomes

Like Divac said. Pac tried your "perfect" strategy in the 3rd fight and that is why he got schooled. You dont outbox JMM unless you are PBF.

Pacs best chance has always been for JMMs age to show up and land some big shots to keep him down. Otherwise if JMM is still fresh it will be more of the same. I have a strange feeling this wont go to a decision either way. I think for the first time ever there will be a TKO in this one. Either JMM in the mid rounds or Pac in the late rounds.

 

I think about this fight and I don't know what way it will go. It could be a replica of the 3rd fight but I think Marquez knows he might have to do another little bit and Pacquaio will look to tweak his strategy/style, not sure if it can be done at this stage in his career. The extent that each man has regressed (if any) is unfathomable until they step into the ring. Its also impossible to see how the judges will score it: they will be very self-conscious each time they score a round because the eyes of the boxing world will be on them.

In short I wouldn't be very surprised with any outcome, barring a total shut-out for either man or a Marquez KO win.

 

I just don't see that working for Pac. Sure, I guess Pac can fight off the back foot if he wanted to, but for that to actually work against someone like JMM, you can't just be competent at it, you have to be actually really really good at it, and I just don't think Pac is good enough at it to work against JMM.

IMO, (not including round 1 of the 1st fight) the toughest time JMM had with Pac was in the 2nd fight when Pac was aggressive and effective enough for his feints to prevent JMM from dictating the rhythm, resulting in a fight where no one was ever truly in control and it was a back and forth affair. By the 3rd fight, either JMM had either truly figured Pac out or Pac just wasn't aggressive enough (or a little of both) and JMM was able to control the rhythm of the fight.

Against a lesser fighter, I can see Pac having success baiting his opponent and engaging at his discretion, but not against JMM. As was mentioned earlier, JMM is more disciplined, more experienced and simply better at it compared to Pac.

 

WAR JMM Wide UD

 

while i don't disagree with this divac dude.. whenever he's talking about marquez why does it seem like he's a kid opening up a present.. very anxious, excited, apprehensive. seems like he's about to pee or some ****

 

I think a fight with Pacquiao will always sell especially if he is up against a young, cocky, undefeated, Mexican brawler like Rios.