I think it's a toss up. I expect it to go the full 12 which will likely mean Froch get's the decision as he has the home advantage.
Kessler won fight one in a close but clear sort of fight Froch lost because he spent to much time being backed up and fighting at Kessler pace When Froch would be the one coming forward he would win the rounds, he just didnt do this enough Both men have looked destructive in their last 2 fights, Kessler to me has the straighter and better punches and will beat Froch to the punch possible X factors include a Kessler hand injury, Kessler was dropped against Green despite the big KO, Froch has been invincible seeming at home Kessler wins for me again but it wont be easy
Real tough one that I wouldnt want to bet on, but... The old Kessler that used to be on his toes throwing combinations, (like against Andrade and Mundine) I would pick to clearly out point Froch. Kessler has never seemed the same since Calzaghe beat him and now takes more flush shots than before and seems to have declined. Froch has been past his best for a while now, (just because he scored his best win doesnt mean he is prime) remember Froch was 31 when he won his first world title, though it looks in the last few fights, that Froch is looking to be more active. Due to recent form it would be easy to pick Froch, but I slightly favour Kessler and for some reason wouldnt be too shocked if it ended inside the distance
Close fight again. And in a close fight. They tend to favor the hometown guy just like it happen in the first fight. Froch by SD.
tough fight Kessler with a healthy eye and better trainer will be stronger than in the first fight but Froch has improved also
I believe Kessler can beat Froch. It will not be easy, but I think Kessler can do it. A lot of posters here are solely focusing on the fact, that Froch has had a good run since the last fight against Kessler, gaining experience against world-class operators, and winning his last two fights in spectacular style. It is all true, but Kessler is definitely not on the decline, and probably has a lot more to offer in this rematch, compared to their first fight: 1: Kesslers eyesight is back to normal. Kessler was known for his eagle-eyed precision before the super-six, and in the fight against Froch in 2010 he was forced to be the aggressor (not always successfully) because he couldn't rely on his precision to fight from the distance. In his last two fights Kessler has been showing his acclaimed precision again, and Froch is normally not hard to find in the ring. 2: Kessler has been working with Jimmy Montoya as a coach now for 3 years. Montoya has been adding a lot of new weapons to Kesslers arsenal (or rather making Kessler find them again, after having relied on the "jab-jab-straight" tactics for a long time under his former coach Ricard Olsen). Montoya has been able to find fatal flaws in Kesslers last opponents every time, and present it tactically for Kessler to exploit (Allan Green dropping his right hand, exposing him for the left hook. Magees soft spot down below, etc.) Froch-Kessler I was the Kesslers first fight with Montoya in the corner. I am sure Jimmy has been able to find a lot of new stuff about Froch, Kessler can exploit. If Froch fights like against Bute and Mack, storming forward like a man possessed, I can see Froch being at the wrong end of a nasty counterpunch at some point in the match. Froch has a good chin, but maybe not as good as he thinks himself. If Froch fights like against Abraham, keeping the distance and relying on his reach advantage to outscore Kessler, it will be a much more difficult night for Kessler. Kessler would then have to rely on his speed advantage to slip, counter and close the distance, working the body like in their first match, and hitting him from awkward angles. Froch has made it public, that he will stop Kessler before the 9th round, and it will become a war. If that is true, Kessler has a much better chance than if Froch boxes the match sensibly (which I actually think he will). Froch also has an enormous pressure on his shoulders. He has been calling out Kessler publically, and has the home advantage, and his fans are expecting great things from him. It could work out bad for Froch who's arguably best wins in recent time (Abraham, Bute) came after defeats, where the expectancies were much lower... Either way, it will be an exciting match-up, which every red-blooded fight fan should look forward to !!
Another factor, I think will make a difference in this fight: Kesslers jab. His accuracy has improved, so it will be hitting Froch more often. But Kesslers jab is not only accurate, it is very powerful. Former opponents and sparring partners have often said, that the most frustrating thing about Kesslers jab is, that it is not an annoying slap, but hurts, and feels like a solid straight right every time it connects. If Froch gets peppered with enough of those, it could make him angry enough to abandon an initially careful plan, and go to war, thus setting him up for Kesslers devastating counterpunches...
For me it's because both of their styles are uneasy to watch. Contrary to most, I didn't really enjoy their bar-room brawl back in 2010. As for who wins, I'll go for Froch by UD or late stoppage. Kessler's body, in my opinion, won't be able to hold up to the punishment by a hot, in-form Froch. He's improved technically, but physically he's not the same fighter and no longer has the toughness required to be aggressive enough to get a decision away from home.