Pavlik v. Dawson at 168, if both had 6 months to prepare; who wins?

It's not...people are realising that Pavlik is strong enough to last enough to buzz and finish Dawson's shakey chin, that's all.:good

 

His style of fighting and the way his fights are scored give him a great chance against anyone, if he survives 12 rounds. The older fighters might hit him with more effective hits, but they're not going to match him in the pitter-patter department...

 

He'll outbox him for 4-5 rounds, making him look like ****. The point is that he doesn't have the power to hurt him. After those first rounds, he'll slow down and get tagged. Pavlik has what it takes to buzz him and finish him. You don't have to be relentless to tag him. You have to be able to land a good enough right a couple of times. This is precisely what Pavlik can do. Dawson just doesn't do head movement.

 

Who said he's featherfisted? Of course Pavlik's chin is not guaranteed to last 12 rounds against Dawson. But think about it...who has the better chin and more power? Pavlik wouldn't walk him down; he'd box as well as he could to survive the opening rounds, then he'd start setting up his right as Dawson slowed down and lost concentration and movement. He is BOUND to tag Dawson with that right. Once he does so, things would get extremely ugly.

Pavlik would get the job done before the last quarter...Dawson couldn't stop him in 9 rounds...

 

It doesn't matter where the fight is, to Diaconu. He HAS to knock Dawson out. The judges and ref don't really matter.

 

It doesn't matter. Dawson is there to be hit. He doesn't move and he doesn't move his head. Pavlik's timing is good enough. Johnson tagged him well and he wasn't exactly fast...

He won't KO Dawson with the first right hand that he lands; he'll buzz him, just like Johnson did. Unlike Johnson, he has the workrate/energy and finishing skills to finish the job...Dawson would lose by TKO.

 

Dawson always burns out down the stretch. Dawson cannot keep up the pace and concentration for 12 rounds. He is there to be hit against EVERY opponent he has faced in his last couple of fights. Pavlik will have even better power at 168. Kelly WILL be hit, but Dawson doesn't have the power to hurt him enough early to stop Pavlik from tagging him effectively later on. Pavlik will be outboxed, but so what? He needs to limit the damage and wait for Dawson's concentration to crack, before taking advantage. Kelly's chin is good enough to take Dawson's power. Dawson's chin is not good enough to take Kelly's. Add Kelly's finishing skills and you have the result. Pavlik TKO 9.