Dirrell is 3.5 To Win On Points In Some Places

PBA · May 23, 2015

Max... Come on

MysticalNinja · May 23, 2015

It seems that DeGale and Dirrell are pretty even and you're going to have to go out of your comfort zone to get a decent bet.

the consensus is that this is a pick em fight, with a quote of -110 the pair most easily found across the industry. The strongest opinions make DeGale a -137 favorite (William Hill, Paddy Power) - which, in boxing terms, is negligible - with other layers going -120 DeGale and even money on Dirrell. At time of writing, Dirrell is only slight favourite (-120) with one of 23 European offerings listed on Oddschecker.com.

That's a slight surprise, and from this viewpoint the initial hunch was that when the early -150 Degale/+120 Dirrell was released, it was the wrong way around. That is, however, not to say Dirrell is necessarily the superior man, but he is the house fighter - the Haymon fighter - an American fighting on home soil. If this fight was taking place in London, those odds look far more logical.

It's reasonable to expect this fight goes at least into the championship rounds - neither has ever been stopped in defeat, and neither is particularly renowned for their knockout artistry. There's -187 available for either man to win on points, and you have to search right up to over 10.5 round line before you hit -200 (1/2). The oddsmakers have DeGale by decision as the most likely outcome, with anything from +162 (13/ 8 to +187 (15/ 8 that he gets the nod with the judges. Dirrell on the cards is just a touch behind that, with a best price of +200 (2/1) on offer.

Those fancying a cagey, nip-and-tuck affair - the type of fight that you'd imagine suits the Michigan man more - may find some appeal in the precise method of victory markets. It's +800 (8/1) for your pick of either man to win by a split decision, with +1200 (DeGale) and (+1400) for the contest to be settled on a majority verdict. The draw, too, is worth a mention here, and +2500 (25/1) isn't the worst bet around this weekend.

There is an argument that DeGale's best chance here would be to disrupt Dirrell early. What we've seen of the American against his highest-calibre opponents suggests he might struggle to close the gap if a lead is established against him, and it's quite possible his head could drop. DeGale, too, is hitting with real conviction of late and developing into a fine combination puncher, a more refined, noticeably more destructive fighter than we saw in his earlier outings.

It's a general +400 (4/1) on each man to win by stoppage, but it's difficult to see why Dirrell commands an equal price to DeGale here. Those looking for a more lavishly-priced winner would be excused for falling back on DeGale's recent trend of ending matters early, with a price on +1000 (10/1) on a third successive statement win in the first half of the fight.
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MannySteward · May 23, 2015

Tricky betting night.

Degale v Dirrell and Johnson v Cormier are both tough picks.

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Dirrell is 3.5 To Win On Points In Some Places

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Dirrell is 3.5 To Win On Points In Some Places

PBA Well-Known Member Full Member

MysticalNinja Active Member Full Member

MannySteward Boxing Addict Full Member