I think this is a 50/50 fight. I see three scenarios happening and I think are all equally likely. The first is Charlo capitalising on Derevyanchenko's tendancy to get caught cold, and start slow; timing an aggressive Sergey early with a big counter and following up to get a finish. It could happen at any time of the fight TBF, but I think it's more likely to happen early than later. The second is that the above never happens, as Derevyanchenko is too classy and keeps close to Charlo, working the body and applying some nasty pressure. His defence isn't impenetrable, so Charlo's shots would still get in and make it close but clear for Derevyanchenko. The third is both happening, but Derev obviously not getting KOed, then getting robbed. Which is probably what I'll put my money. 'Unifying' with Murata after beating Derev would be a complete joke. Jacobs, GGG, Andrade or Canelo are the only fights which wouldn't feel like a disappointment.
Charlo is too slick for Canelo. Canelo struggles against boxers like Floyd, Lara and Trout. He lost all three IMO. No way does he go near Charlo. Would be an easy night for Jermall, too quick and too powerful.
Charlo needs to rematch Korobov & Lara first . I just hope Derevyanchenko gets a fair crack of the whip If he does he could very likely KO Charlo