Good video. I'll add that Pac is a fighter that isn't easy to pin down/keep on the ropes. These days, he might go there to take mini breaks or let his opponents get off before mounting a sudden attacks. Spence will feel Pac's power and speed and I don't see him applying his usual pressure unless Pac fades in the second half.
Thanks. I think after a competitive first half where Spence is surprised by Manny's athleticism, Spence is going to have to really bite down and try to out-dog Manny. Given the age discrepancy that might turn the tide in his favor.
Spence is Flat footed and his punches is telegraph / way too slow. A clear wide UD or even a late TKO win for Pacman. Spence's fans will have to come up with stupid lame excuses this time....
I thought he could of stopped Thurman. He hurt him bad in the 10th I think it was. If Pac wasn’t gassed or it was a younger version of Pac he would have got him out of there. I know he didn’t so it’s irrelevant. That said I think Spence will be easier to find but I also think if Pac gasses like he did in the Thurman fight Spence comes on strong late so it would be bad news for Pac. I think he needs to hurt Spence early to have any chance of winning.
Thurman can be hurt, but he's proven to be incredibly tough (Collazo, Lopez, Pacquiao) and has the will to survive. Don't understand why Thurman never gets credit for his courage and toughness. We haven't seen Spence really hurt, but what happens when Pac's finds his chin? And I think Spence is more hittable than Thurman based on his activity alone. It's almost a statistical guarantee that Pac will hurt and/or drop Spence at some point.
good break down. ive also broke down the difference the mirrored stance will have in this fight. also saw video of pac working on that right hook when a southpaw jabs at him, and said if hes a tad too slow, spence is going to shoot that straight left before manny can land his hook, then roll out, and its gonna catch manny flush. spence wiill either throw it as a 1-2, in a delayed cadence, to bait manny into throwing that hook, or he will feint the jab and throw the straight left. either way, i see spence taking away that counter right hook that was so effective against diaz. from the video of spence training, i think hes going to crowd manny, use his strength against him where manny doesnt have the extension to make his speed work for him. manny is not a great inside fighter, while spence is one of the current best. spence is also a master of distance, he knows where he needs to be to keep the fight at the most favorable distance for himself. thats why he kept mikey on the outside, as mikey has impeccable timing when hes within reach to counter. i think mannys corner pulls him out in the last quarter of the fight. i hope im wrong, ive always wanted a better exit from the game for manny than what i just described.
Interesting observation, straight does beat long so I wouldn't be surprised if Spence was working on that strategy.
a simple technique i dont see fighters using anymore is to hide the chin inside the shoulder at full extension of the punch. in this situation, spence would be expecting mannys right hook, so when he shoots his left to try and land it before pac lands his hook, he tucks his chin inside, almost next to his armpit as his left extends. that way, even if pacs punch lands first, it will hit shoulder, get deflected by shoulder, or hit top of head, where damage is minimal. its both an offensive move and defensive move simultaneously. it also gives the punch a corkscrew effect as you turn the punch over at impact, bringing the shoulder up against the ear. in other words, at the point of impact, your fist will have the thumb on the bottom of the fist, thumb knuckle pointing at the ground. its all one motion.
After Spence takes Pacquiao's best shot then what will happen to him? That's what we are curious to know. If Spence takes it without a flinch then Pacquiao will be in a serious trouble in the mid and late rounds when he gasses. But if Spence takes it and goes down to the floor then Pacquiao will have a chance to beat him. Pacquiao's lightning attacks are still dangerous for anyone.
Don't forget that he almost stopped Thurman. Spence has never really been chin or body checked. It's highly unlikely, but let us not talk here like Pac didn't almost put Thurman out via TKO. Also, Spence is not a known durable fighter. Porter tagged him a couple of times and ESJ's reaction was pretty telling. Imagine those hits getting followed up by 2-4 more. That's what makes this matchup so intriguing.
