Of course Fury could win. But he lost eight, possibly even nine, rounds in the first fight, so it's going to be a task winning. (Then again the judges were generous to Fury so maybe he'll pick up an undeserved decision.) I can see Fury winning the first 4/5 rounds then exhausting himself and getting dominated or even knocked out. But there's so many different ways this can go. Shame Madrimov isn't on the undercard anymore, not especially excited about the undercard for this one.
Fury should have been stopped in first fight. Fury looked good for a stretch but ran out of gas. He cannot sustain the work required to dominate Usyk. Same will happen again.
First fight cards were a disgrace. Usyk won that fight clearly. He will stop Fury this time to make sure, then retire.
It’s true that Fury was extremely competitive, but he was also taking bombs from Usyk that clearly hurt him. While Fury’s power was effective, it wasn’t nearly as damaging as Usyk’s punches. In the end, the more damaging blows were from Usyk and those punches broke Fury down. Don’t forget that Usyk should have won by stoppage if it wasn’t for the referee’s rescue.
I think Fury can actually outbox Usyk in a pure boxing contest (go ahead and ban me now). The problem for Fury is that Usyk is capable of putting enough pressure on him to fatigue him both mentally and physically, and retake the edge. Fury isn't used to heavyweights with that type of stamina and would need to be in the shape of his life to keep it a boxing match for 12 rounds, but that ship has sailed. Fury's path to victory is a mixture of boxing to keep Usyk busy, and hoping he can land punishing bodywork when it gets physical without taking big shots. Usyk should get the job done, but it's more of a 60/40 fight.
Outworked and outpressed early, took some middle rounds, got dominated late. Split decision is a gift to Fury.