It's about a 50-50. Till I see Zhang garner a win or two over someone better than Joyce, I'd lean very slightly towards Smokin' Joe.
Nah Zhang has to get Frazier out of there early or his gas tank will betray him. 50/50 fight imo. Zhang dangerous early doors, and can box and hurt people, but if he couldn't put Parker or Kabayel away it's hard to see him doing it to Frazier, who was pretty used to giving up height and reach advantages in his day, albeit not quite to this extent
I think people forget how good Joe was at slipping the jab and closing the distance, particularly for someone who doesn't look to possess fleet feet. If Joe can get inside for 30 seconds to a minute of every round from 1-4 he stops an exhausted Zhang late... FOC Frazier beats any version of Zhang...too big, too slow, not enough in his tank. A dangerous three rounds wardrobe
Zhang has a nasty uppercut at close quarters which is the punch that Frazier was vulnerable to which would make me lean towards him. He has to get the job done inside 6 or he’ll get beaten into exhaustion like Buster Mathis Sr.