Usyk beat a damaged Joshua, what, 9-3/8-4 in their first contest and 8-4/7-5 in their second? Averaging 8-4 over both bouts. The discrepancy between a prime Wlad and those versions of AJ is greater than 8-4, imo.
We have had this before. Basically I think Wlad's style is designed to cause Usyk problems. Usyk's movement is from side to side and Wlad creates space by moving back. Couple that with a long jab and the big grab up close, and on paper Usyk is rowing uphill. Meanwhile, in real life, rumour is that Usyk gave a (somewhat faded version) of Wlad all he could handle in sparring. So, who knows.