Calzaghe ,I think he will come out and try to establish dominancy ,no pitter patter fast bursts ,but hard punches , to test Jones chin he knows Jones stiill has handspeed. I would not be very surprised if Jones does very well ,but he may have to fight in bursts now .Jones could cause an upset and take a dec both men have lost a bit ,I go with Joe but no money leaves my pocket in this one.
I love jones to win but can't see it, calzaghe got a good chin so i can't see him landing a wonder punch and knocking him out and the workrate and pace calzaghe will work at will be far to much for jones now to compete at, wide UD for calzaghe 117-111 ish
Joe (in those 24-7 programmes) has been reiterating that he doesnt want to do the '100 punches a round' and that he wants to pick his punches more. I think this will work against him as reflexs-wise Roy still has the better hand speed and will likely be the first to land. If Joe wants to win then he needs to pressure Jones from the off (much in the same vein as Glen Johnson did to RJJ) and not allow Jones to 'get off' Simply put, if JC stands off, he will get beat IMO
800 hundred punches should be enough to beat Jones. But it IS interesting - I think Joe has come to the conclusion that moving up in class requires a lower punch output in order that he can avoid being countered. That could be a mistake. But the pressure he brought against Hopkins was very educated after round 3.
Jones via decison. I like him to defuse Calzaghe for most of the fight. His speed will give Calzaghe real problems. And Jones certainly isn't in with an orthodox fighter like Kessler or Hopkins. That will make Calzaghe more hesitant. I'd like to see Jones go for it when possible instead of getting involved in a sparring session. It's an interesting fight.
I went with Pavlik the last time, so maybe the old fighters have something left to beat these young guns. So my pick is Jones, because I weary.
I'm pretty shocked that people are picking Jones, who's been declining pretty rapidly since 2004, and hasn't proven to be anywhere near elite since his losses to Tarver and Johnson. I guess anything's possible with what's been going on these days, but I just don't see Jones standing much chance at all in this one, even if his initial handspeed and power are able to deter Joe early on a bit. Joe's footspeed and workrate at this juncture are far superior to the more flat-footed Jones who mainly relies on his bursts of handspeed these days. I think if people actually took into account how poor, and flat out shot Jones has looked in his recent fights they'd agree. But I guess we'll just have to wait and see to be sure.