People are OVER-ANALYZING the Pac/Cotto fight

If this fight goes to the scorecards I'll be surprised. Manny has a way of KTFO out of big time fighters and legends. Crushed Barrera, Morrales, Oscar and Hatton unlike anyone ever had. Cotto is not lasting the 12. Pac TKO in 6

 

Biggest fight of the year, of course theres going to be huge excitement about it, and lots of excitement and everybody giving their opinion.

 

I agree, the reason people like to say 'will win' is so they can say I TOLD YOU SO!! :smoke

 

Says the guy who thinks that Pacquiao would beat a prime Quartey at 147. Get real Pharoah.

 

Over-analyzing is better than under-analyzing.

 

yeah, I'm quite confident that Pac wins this, I see a stoppage and I think it might happen earlier than alot of people think. I picked round 4 in the prediction thread.

I like both fighters, if Pac wins we will all witness the greatness of a great fighter, if Cotto wins a great close fight it sets up for a mega rematch that would be great for the sport.

 

You take the fun out of it. Cotto will win and if he loses, I was wrong. Easy as that. No one here is getting paid for analyzing fights. Philla you say the more you watch fights.... I don't agree 100%. One punch changes everything no matter how many fights you watch and feel that you have a grip on the outcome. Someone should have explained that to Lewis when he got KO'ed twice by contenders that had no business in the ring with him. Then again, being a former fighter, I do remember Lewis getting in trouble with Bruno and my brother thought it was over. I said if Bruno gets careless and drops his I believe left hand....BOOM. I did not even finish my sentence when Lewis, real shaky, bombed him out. Sometimes you can see how a fight is going to go, but it is up to a well balanced champ to have numerous game plans to confuse the other fighter and trainer.

 

Well fighters aren't always at their best and thats what happened with Lewis against Rahman but I think its safe to say that Pacquiao is at his best apart from the size disadvantage but at least we know it in advance.

Also, if I'm wrong I'm wrong, but I'm also backing my pick with my money. So if I'm right i'm making bank, and if I'm wrong i'm paying for it.

 

You are one of the stand-up posters here. I have been wrong a couple of times here, but you guys will not hear me scream from Jersey. Just hoping for a great fight. May the best man win.

 

I'm going against the grain and both guys will try and have a pure boxing match instead of a brawl or war.....pacquiao doesnt want to brawl with the bigger man, and cotto feels he is the natural boxer between the 2....I see it going twelve but manny will throw and connect more then cotto, as history shows in their respective carears

 

You could be right, I just went early becuase everyone has it going 12 or into the late rounds. It all comes down to how well Cotto can time him and I think he's lost a bit of his reaction time and speed at the hands of Margo. That little bit should be enough for Pac. We know he has carried his power up to the higher weights, though Hatton had a bad chin when they fought so we shall see.....thats why I love boxing.

 

first of all I don't know why you used my old name but if you think i changed my name so people wouldn't know i was the same poster, you're wrong

2nd, Pac vs prime Quartey will never happen. So it doesn't matter. Depending on the outcome of Pac vs Cotto its quite possible that my point of view on that fight becomes the majority POV.

3rd, I haven't seen any Quartey fights, only highlights. So I made that pick mostly on paper. Which tbh isn't worth much.

4th, you've been underrating Pac since forever, and you're still doing it. I'd like to see you make a pick on the Pac vs Cotto thread I've started, where over 500 have voted their pick but inexplicably yours is not there.

 

Looking at this objectively, I think Cotto will win this fight. Pacquiao's prior victories over De La Hoya and Hatton is not a true measuring stick as far as whether Pacquiao can handle a legitimate welterweight. Recall that De La Hoya was finished before he fought Pacquiao; and Hatton clearly had no business being in the ring. Hatton is finished. Pacquiao was not tested in either fight. As such, there is nothing we can point to that is indicative of whether Pacquiao can handle a true welterweight. Cotto, on the other hand, is a different story. He has been tested with the best the welterweight division has to offer. Cotto's last two fights (not counting the Jennings fight) is not indicative of what his performance will be like tomorrow. Here is why: The loss against Margarito is questionable for obvious reasons. Although I cannot prove it, I believe Margarito's gloves were padded. I came to this conclusion after watching that fight a few times. Cotto's injuries did not appear normal in my book. As for the fight with Clottey, most people forget that Cotto suffered a server cut b/c of head butt in the third or fourth round; and as a consequence, Cotto fought the rest of the fight blind in one eye against a heck of a fighter. Yet, despite the odds stacked against him, Cottor he found a way to win when he should have lost. Although Clottey may have outpointed Cotto (I personally think he did), Clottey did not knock Cotto down to the canvas; nor do I think Clottey managed to hurt Cotto (except for the head butt; which doesn't count in my book) during the match. This says alot; and it supports the theory that Pacquiao will not hurt Cotto. Think about it. If Clottey, who is much stronger than Pacquiao, couldn't hurt Cotto legitmately, and Margarito, who is stronger than Pacquiao, needed 11 rounds with cement pads to take down Cotto, how can any one reason from a logical standpoint that Pacquiao can hurt Cotto?

Much has been said about Pacquiao's speed. I agree that speed kills. But Pacquiao lacks the defensive skills of a Mayweather (if he did, I would see this fight differently). Pacquiao is hittable (history has shown this); and this is why I'm picking Cotto even though Cotto is also hittable. As for the speed problem Pacquiao brings to the table, Cotto has shown that he can neutralize the speed and quickness of his opponents -- see e.g., Mosely and Judah -- with timing. Lets not forget, Cotto's speed is underrated and his ability to time his opponent is superb.

Considering the above, both fighters will be trading shots. Cotto will manage to hit Pacquiao and vice versa. Pacquiao will likely throw more punches, but he will not hurt Cotto. Pacquiao, on the other hand, will feel the effect of Cotto's blows; especially the body shots. This fight, in my opinion, will be similar to the Cotto-Margartio fight where the smaller guy outboxes the bigger guy, but the small guy will eventually succumb to the pressure imposed from the big guy.

Peace