How many of these boxers would you pick Kessler to beat?

.7 * .7 = .49, so if he has a 70% chance against each, then he'd have a 49% chance of beating both, one after another. This is because each fight is an independent event.


You're right in that it's an odd way of looking at things. I'm just saying how many I think he would beat if he fought all in succession.

 

All of them - except Dawson.

 

Sorry , MrStayman, can't help myself to intervene here. If you multiply Kessler's chances of beating Pavlik ( event A with P(A)=.7) and beating Taylor ( event B with P(B)=.7) then you get in percentage the chance (P(A).P(B)=.5) that Kessler has to beat both if they were mutually independent events... But happens that they are not mutually independent, Kessler only fights and beats Taylor if he beats Pavlik) so this is a case of conditional probability P(B/A) with P(AB) = P(B/A)P(A) which is not .5

 

I don't know too much about Dawson so can't comment. I'd narrowly favour Kessler over Pavilk. He beats all the other US Senior Tour members convincingly

 

no. why?. joe and kessler beats all of them, the fight was not so onesided as some people claim it was. joe and kessler are both great, and a rematch in copenhagen would be interesting:think.

 

The thread is for people who actually have some knowledge, so it aint applicable.

 

Agreed i have wathced the fight many times and up untill round 5 they are switching between winning rounds. Then Kessler seems to loose his stamina. I was really impressed by JC in that fight i had kessler as a sure win, but damn JC can suck up punches. The two uppercuts from MK in round 4 would have shaken anyone, JC just shrugged.
That coupled with his workrate won him the fight, but it was close. I still think Kessler would have a chance in a rematch, he learned some valuable lessons in Cardiff.

 

The Viking will prevail :bbb ...but both Pavlik and Hopkins is a fight I'd love to see :deal

 

Kessler lost a battle but not the war, he'll come back even stronger.
In Cardiff he made me proud, he was fighting to the end, everything was wrong for him, to bad he'll never have another shot on Calzaghe, but I understand that and so does Kessler. I think he will go for the money in USA, afterall he got himself a name, it will be hard for him to unify the belts in smw.
they will avoid him as the plauge.

 

Kessler has always fought the best available to him, hopefully he will continue to do this.
He would love to fight anypne on that list.

 

Befor his Calzaghe loss (and today also) I would pick Kessler over all of those mentioned, with the POSSIBLE exception of Dawson.