Mir & Brock won't happen: http://mmajunkie.com/news/21736/brendan-schaub-vs-frank-mir-targeted-for-early-2011-ufc-event.mma
I don't think Shields can hold GSP down, if he gets him down. The fight will propably look like the Koscheck fight.
K1 isn't MMA so you can't count that. I think fighters should fight at least three times a year to become fighter of the year. So I would go...
GSP is just that much better than the rest. Don't see him loosing the title in a long time. After he beats Shields and if Silva gets past Belfort...