AA vs Ward Anybody else smell on upset?

MJK · Mar 22, 2011

DrMo said: ↑

Abraham will get DQd late when well behind on the scorecards in a boring fight.
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Ward will not take knees down to take a break, so I dont see AA getting DQ.

H . · Mar 22, 2011

Ward via UD

cuchulain · Mar 22, 2011

Probability of fight actually happening: 80 %

Probability of fight falling through: 20 %

If the fight goes ahead:

AA by KO: 22 %

AA by TKO: 2 %

AA by decision: 1 %

AA by DQ: 1 %

Draw: 0 %

Ward by DQ: 3 %

Ward by TKO: 11 %

Ward by KO: 0 %

Ward by decision: 60 %

Place your bets accordingly !

RobertV77 · Mar 22, 2011

SILENCER said: ↑

In analyzing this fight, it is important to not understate the King or overstate the S.O.G. Some pundits are crowing that Arthur Abraham has been "exposed." I honestly don't know what planet those pundits are from, or what language they think they speak, since the last time I checked a fighter needed to be protected prior to being "exposed." Abraham has fought some pretty tough characters in Edison Miranda, Howard Eastman and Raul Marquez. What the Super Six has revealed is Abraham's limits. The Armenian is still the most powerful puncher in the Super Six, but his peek-a-boo, methodical style leaves him vulnerable to being out-boxed by fighters who are either fast enough (Dirrell) or strong enough (Froch) to keep him at bay. Another major deficiency of Abraham's approach is that it lets the opponent win round after round while he gets his offense going. Still, he can beat the boxer under the right circumstances, as the Eastman fight showed.

For his part, I think the pundits are making too much of Ward. He has gone from triumph to triumph, but against who? Edison Miranda had already been beaten down by Abraham (twice) and Kelly Pavlik, and didn't even try very hard to win against Ward. The truly impressive win was shutting out Mikkel Kessler. Against that, it must be said that Kessler's record against top tier opponents is 1-2 (Win: Froch; Losses: Calzaghe and Ward). This is not to say that Ward is not a great fighter, but contrary to his moniker, he is not divine. The thing that impresses me most about Ward is ring generalship, and not his physical gifts.

That said, I have a very hard time seeing Andre Ward failing to do what Andre Dirrell did. I think the other Andre is faster than Ward, but of the two Olympians, Ward is by far the more polished and confident fighter. Abraham has a puncher's chance, of course, but that is about it. While I think Ward will be more aggressive than Dirrell, he won't make any mistakes for Abraham to capitalize on, and King Arthur won't be able to find Ward long enough to unload on him. On the other hand, Ward will have a tough time getting past Abraham's point defense - he won't be able to drive those heavily muscled arms apart the way Carl Froch did. We're in for a full night that sees Arthur Abraham catch a lot of leather, lose a lot of rounds, and ultimately depart the Super Six tournament.

but then again bika gave ward hell,maybe abraham has something to prove!!
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Raul Marquez?

psychopath · Mar 22, 2011

I don't see Ward being flat footed and trading.

So no upset. Ward will win by points and AA will end up being so frustrated.

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AA vs Ward Anybody else smell on upset?

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AA vs Ward Anybody else smell on upset?

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