Interesting. Though I think it's fair to say, just as was the case with Burley, representation would be the crucial point.
Even if Ali did not serve the WW2, Ali would go to prison. EITHER way, Ali STILL loses his prime years as Louis and Ali did in real life.
Assuming Ali gets the same opposition Louis does in the same order, he would get worn down faster by the hectic schedule and sheer volume of good contenders that Louis faced one after another. The smaller gloves would inflict a bit more damage as well in the long term. Somebody is bound to get to him eventually.
Definatley. And although Ali has to be ranked higer due to accomplishments, in a head to head fight Walcott would beat him.
Why do you say that? I wouldn't have said that Ali was less athletic, had less stamina, or less will. Is it because you feel that he may have to fight more rounds? Because I feel that though this may be true, he would probably get hit less.
The Baer's,Conn,Godoy,Schmeling,Farr, would all be able to give Ali trouble, none of them were slow ponderous heavyweights that Ali enjoyed fighting, IMO Norton would not be able to last with Max Baer or Schmeling and Frazier would be in danger, Ali would be troubled with Conns speed but Also the 2 Max's had power and speed (not easy fights for Ali, lets face it Cooper had Ali hurt, Frazier had him down and the reason is because the could execute a punch with speed, Ali would get hit by these guys
The crucial factor that people are not taking into acount is the speed with which Louis was moved along. 6 months into his profesional career Louis is knocking over ranked contenders while Ali is fighting mostly tomato cans at this stage. 14 months into his profesional career Louis was fighting Max Baer. Ali was getting droped by Sony Banks 16 months into his career. Less than two years into his profesional career he is fighting Max Schmeling. Ali has been fighting profesionaly for two and a half years when he has a close call against Doug Jones. Is Ali going to be ready for the same oponents in the same time frame?
I have touched upon some of this already and I agree that it's the crucial point - I actually think young Ali (or Clay as he probably would have been throughout his career if he was fighting at that time!) would be OK with Schmeling because of the type of fighter he was. Baer. Baer would be the one.
He might run into trouble long before he faced the Baers and Schmelings of the division. Is he going to be ready for Stanley Poreda or Patsy Peroni after four months?
I haven't seen either of these guys fight so I can't comment specifically. But I do think that what he has naturally can't be underestimated.
I say this because nobody, not even Ali, faced the sheer volume and frequency of contenders that Louis did over a sustained period and did so with consistency. In his own time, Ali dropped at least one and possibly two or three decisions to Ken Norton, who was not an amazing fighter outside of beating Ali. He also lost to Frazier, and arguably dropped at least one more during his second title reign. I know that Louis could handle that kind of sustained, consistent workload because he already did it. Ali could be inconsistent. There's no question that he would be dominant in his prime, but it's unlikely that the 1970's are the only era that contain fighters who can defeat him. Here's a timeline charting his actual decline in "our world" compared to his schedule in Louis's. 1934 = 1960 1934--12 opponents 1960--2 opponents of much lower quality 1935 = 1961 1935--15 opponents, including Baer, Carnera, Uzcudun, 1961--8 opponents of much lower quality 1936 = 1962 1936--6 opponents including Schmeling, Sharkey 1962--6 opponents including Banks, Lavorante and Moore 1937 = 1963 1937--5 fights, including a title shot 1963--3 fights, mostly against top contenders (as above) 1938 = 1964 1938--3 title defenses, including Schmeling 1964--title fight against Sonny Liston 1939 = 1965 1939--4 title fights 1965--Liston and Patterson (bad back) 1940 = 1966 1940--4 title defenses 1966--5 title defenses 1941 = 1967 1941--7 title defenses 1967--2 title defenses 1942 = 1968 1942--2 title defenses, off to war 1968--no title defenses, exiled 1943 = 1969 1943--off to war 1969--in exile 1944 = 1970 1944--1 title defense (very bad) 1970--2 fights 1945 = 1971 1945--off to war 1971--3 fights and FOTC 1946 = 1972 1946--2 title fights 1972--6 fights 1947 = 1973 1947--Walcott 1973--4 fights, including Norton twice 1948 = 1974 1948--Walcott 1974--Foreman, Frazier again (not nearly as good one) 1949 = 1975 1949--retired 1975--4 defenses 1950 = 1976 1950--Charles, 1 other 1976--4, including Norton and Young 1951 = 1977 1951--8 fights, including Marciano 1977--2 fights 1952 = 1978 1952--retired 1978--Spinks twice 1953 = 1979 Both careers are pretty much done. Ali would face a lot more trouble early, particularly in the first few fights of his career. Given that Ali had a few problems as late as Cooper, and with the high early level of opposition he would have to face, I can see him dropping at least one at this stage of his career. Louis had a harder and more filled title reign up until their respective exiles. It's conceivable that Ali would drop one here, but let's give him the benefit of the doubt. They may have roughly equivalent attrition by 1946...Ali would have probably been comparable to his 1972 or 1973 version that dropped a decision to Norton, and I can see him losing one to Walcott out of their two fights. He would have been more preserved in 1950 when he came back to face Charles, but would still have been roughly at 1974 or 1975 standards...where he could lose to Charles. And Louis's consistency against top contenders in 1951 was superior to what Ali mustered in the late 1970's, so I don't see Ali getting close enough to the title from that point on. The two have pretty parallel careers, actually.
Excellent post--except for accepting boxrec's insane idea that the exhibition against Johnny Davis in 1944 was a title defense. No one, and I mean no one, thought so at the time. It was never listed by Nat Fleischer in any Ring Record Book nor referred to at all, let alone as a title defense, in the over sixty years since the bout. How many sources have listed 25 title defenses by Louis as the record? Nor was it thought of as a title defense at the time: New York Times November 11, 1944 "Sergeant Joe Louis, World Heavyweight Champion on furlough from the army after overseas service, yesterday recieved permission from the State Athletic Commission to engage in an exhibition bout as part of his current tour. The exhibition will be against Johnny Davis, Brooklynite, in Buffalo on Tuesday night." Louis fought an exhibition the night before fighting Davis in another city, and fought an exhibition the night after. There was nothing different about the Davis fight, which would never have been sanctioned as a title defense. That boxrec would stumble into such a grotesque mistake brings into question their reliability on any bout at all. The most famous fighter in the world does not have a title defense which goes so far under the radar that Ring Magazine did not notice it. The same holds true for the "defense" by Dempsey that they dug up.
Ali beat Liston x2 Patterson x2 Fraizer x2 Norton x2 Foreman x1. Ali would have no trouble with Louis opposition. None of them are as good as the fighters Ali beat. Henry Cooper would do very well in Louis era.