Had Alvarado had a tuneup and got back to his winning ways with two fights, it might have been a pickem fight again, but he lost by knockout to Rios and then his next fight is Rios again. That is why Rios is a big favorite, and Rios is more confident and probably more comfortable at the weight. It will take a lot for Alvarado to last even longer than he did last time. Who knows maybe he will try and box Rios and surprise all of us. That might be his only way to win. Turn it into a more boxing match and land from the outside. A brawl favors Rios as all of you know.