Analysis on Abraham/Miranda II

Abraham should win this fight by knockout, like Pavlik did, however, we will not know for sure until the fat lady sings.

 

Nice analysis, nevertheless i disagree a little bit. Abraham and his trainer know, he cant be that passive in the first rounds than he was in recent fights. So i dont expect him to be that passive. Theres so much bad blood in this fight, i dont think Abraham will hold back for too long. Abraham can be calm, he knows Miranda has no idea how to crack his defense, he couldnt in the first fight, and i dont expect him to do so much better this time. And when he did hit Abraham it had nearly no effect. So this time, without a broken jaw, Abraham has to be careful. It wouldnt be too good to think Miranda cant hurt him. I think he can....if Abraham gets careless. On the other side, Miranda is not too hard to find. I see him getting hit with Abrahams right hand often. Miranda can look like he wants physically, his boxing intelligence, his reflexes, his techniqe wont be better than in recent fights.

Im not sure about Abraham moving around. At least he hasnt shown good footspeed in his last outings. He has become a more stationary fighter in the last fights. He was more looking for that one big punch. And now, that he is in america and wants to fight Pavlik next, he knows he has to look impressive. So sooner or later, he will go for the kill. I hope he knows when the time is right, if he gets overexcited he could very well run into one of Mirandas punches.

Abraham KO 10, in an entertaining fight where Abraham has to get through 1 or 2 critical moments

 

Wouldnt this be sort of a pre-analysis??

Is there going to be a live feed of the fight?? I really hope so...don't have showtime

 

Arthur could walk through Miranda because he has a chin made out of stone and his handspeed is not much worse. Miranda could not put down Abraham when he had a broken jaw.

Also Abraham hits harder, so lets reveiw: As fast hands, better-much better chin and hits harder. In saying that the fact he could walk through Miranda does not mean he will.

 

I think you guys overrate Abraham a bit too much. He is better defensively than he is offensively. offensively he is wreckless and loops his punches more than Miranda does. Arthur Abraham is not Kelly Pavlik. In their first fight, Miranda didn't get to land any straight right power shots flush, which is his main bread and butter power shot. If he lands one early, it is an early night and Abraham goes to sleep. Miranda's shot is to catch Abraham early within the first 3 rounds.

Abraham on the other hand, has to survive the early rounds. If he does, I agree with Sandman in that I can see him tiring, at least more than Abraham. If Abraham attempts to be more aggressive early on, he poses the risk of getting into exchanges with a man he does not want to get in an exchange with.

 

This is how I see this fight turning out:

Miranda will bully Abraham, rush on him and swing with big, wild shots, pressure him, because that's what he does. But Abraham will be very cautious and fight defensively, covering up on the ropes and counterpunch when he can, at least for the first few rounds. Abraham will fight in spurts, like he often does, and he during these he will land some good shots on Miranda, who has a bad defense. Mirana will be far more active tho, so these will be close rounds, depending on how the judges score rounds - workrate and aggressiveness or some few good countershots. Down the road, I don't think Miranda will tire - he is in good condition, while Abraham will continue fighting in spurts (he has stamina issues). Miranda will get frustrated and careless though, and Abraham will capitalize on this and land more and more good shots. Abraham is smart, he will stay calm and not force a KO tho, he won't trade with Miranda, he will just continue to box and take all the late rounds, winning a clear UD. Miranda is tough as hell and will make a stand before the end, trying to knock out Abraham with all his might, and he might get knocked down himself doing so, but get up again. My guess is 117-111 or 117-110 for Abraham.
In the end, Abraham is not the most skillful boxer, but he's still head and shoulders over Miranda in that department. And Abraham is smart and has a good trainer, he will have a good game-plan, Miranda is only a crude puncher (a very tough one tho) who overestimates himself and will try to score a KO. Miranda got lucky in that he landed such a good shot on Abraham in their first fight, breaking his jaw, but it's unprobale that he will do that again.

Of course, Miranda still has a punchers chances, if Abraham leaves himself open after throwing a punch, like he tends to do, and Miranda connects with something good, the fight may also turn out very different. But not likely..

 

Abraham's habit of fghting in spurts, 'exploding' to throw a barrage of power punches, after having covered up most of the round, will make him vulnerable to a fighter like Miranda every time out because it leaves him wide open and Miranda only has to catch him once to do serious damage.

 

Can a tiger change its stripes? AA said he KNOWS he has to be more active, but is his style too set? Does he have the stamina to be more active? His defense worked last time because the body blow was taken away from Miranda with questionable points deductions for 'low blows'.

It will be a bigger ring this time. AA insisted. So that may tell his stratagy. I favor fighter over boxer in this one but I wouldn't put any of my hard earned cash on it.