Andrade v. Dawson at 168 - who wins and why?

Dawson was posed these exact stylistic questions by Glen Johnson, who if we are being serious is a level above Andrade. I don't see any reason not to predict a slightly wider Dawson decision with that in mind

Not sold completely on Dawson's chin though, not at all, so there is always a slight worry there. I doubt Andrade has the speed to land something big.

 

If Dawson is drained and not healthy, Andrade by KO.

If Dawson transfers well, then a shutout or near shutout UD over Andrade. Possibly could lose a few rounds though on Andrade activity.

Pressure seems to unhinge Dawson, but Johnson is much more skilled and seasoned than Andrade.

 

Dawson by a wide UD

 

Andrade has one chance, that's for a drained Dawson. He's not as schooled as Johnson, nor as experienced and Dawson would have learned from that bout anyway.

I don't get where assuming that we have a healthy Dawson, Bute is to be favoured over Andrade and Dawson is a big ? mark when Dawson has all of the tools to effectively outbox him and Bute doesn't. Dawson also has some underrated pop in his punches, with precise combo's that will make Andrade think twice.

Andrade can maybe do a little bit, do better than he did against Mikkel, but he will lose to any version of Dawson other than a drained one. This is common sense, I know you really don't like Chad Dawson, but come on now.

 

Why is Andrade even considered an interesting opponent to consider in fantasy fights? What has he achieved except being dominated by Kessler?

 

Dawson's got more power than Bute in my opinion, judging that off of titanium jawed Johnson, who's only KD out of the excellent comp he fought was a slip really, is not a measure of it. Nobody can really KO Johnson, he's just one of those guys.

Dawson lacks defence, but Andrade's not the one to capitalise on it and Bute really lacks defence.

Dawson would have dispatched a limited, soft jawed slugger like Berrio in 2-3 rounds, making it look easy. He's actually a really good fighter with tons of potential and at least they have his style down to where it should be.

Now if it's Kessler/Dawson, obviously Dawson will become unglued with Kessler's timing and skill, but not Andrade.

 

Dawson would take a wide UD. Even now, he is not a fully mature LHW, so making 168 wouldn't be a problem at all.

Andrade is a very tough and steady opponent, but he doesn't have the offensive prowess to stop Dawson. And Chad has plenty of ways he can attack Andrade.

Agreed that Chad has a poor defense and has fought unintelligently at times, but I don't suspect Andrade is the person to make him pay for that.

 

If Dawson makes supermiddle without any problems then he beats Andrade by a very wide decision. 10-2 or something close to it. This fight has no appeal.

 

Even a drained Dawson boxes Andrade's ears off, this one would not be close.

Dawson is a P4P level talent, Andrade is an also-ran in what has now become a very weak division.

 

Johnson was also the first fighter to ever pressure Dawson from round to round, which is why he fell into Johnson's gameplan and still managed to pull out a close fight. In other words Dawson is inexperienced. Had he been more experienced he would of handled Johnson's pressure better. Now that Dawson is more experienced, I expect him to handle pressure more better. Luckily for Dawson Diaconu doesn't bring that type of pressure and gives way too much room for his opponents to box, which is one of Diaconu's weakness. And Dawson will box Andrea's head off just like what he did to Epifano Mendoza, watch the fight on youtube and that's exactly how the fight will look like, minus the KO.