Any one here picking Mickey to beat Spence?

He's the better, much more accomplished and proven fighter and I believe he has the skills, power and fundamentals to cause the good but hideously overrated by his fanboys Spence (in terms of the comically lofty placement they afford him on the P4P rankings) plenty of problems, but I think the main obstacle he has to overcome, and which will ultimately prove a bridge too far, is being able to withstand what's coming back at him from a 147 pounder. Mikey has only fought at 140 x 2 (and obviously never at 147) and he's only fought above 130 x 5.

His 2 fights at 140 were against Lipinets and Broner both of whom are decent punchers at that weight but Spence is a hard hitting 147 pounder and we have no idea how Mikey, who has been dropped x 2 and I saw some footage of one of his other fights on YT a while back in a HL vid of his where he very nearly went down from a left hook that made his legs dip real low, is going to be able to hold a shot from a puncher at 147. And Broner went into his shell against Mikey after tasting his power and refused to let his hands go freely so he didn't really put Mikey's whiskers to test.

But Mikey, like Manny who is very similar in terms of height, reach, and build to Mikey, does hit unusually hard for his size and the difference in weight between Mikey and him is nowhere near as much as many believe it to be. In fact, as I've mentioned on here before the difference in weight between Loma and Mikey is more than what the difference between Mikey and Spence is. If Mikey weighs 147.4 at 9:00am the morning of the fight for Easter and Lipinets, and then stuffs his face with pizza for his pre-fight meal, then I think it's a fair to say he was 149-150 in the ring. But Spence is obviously naturally bigger and is cutting a lot of weight to get down to 147 and can easily compete at 154 whereas Mikey couldn't.

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Mikey 149-150 (call it 149 if you want)

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Mikey (and this is the Kangaroo Jack Mikey who has been bulking up at SNAC, not the one who fought at 135 and 140), claims he's 152 right now and Victor Conte says their target weight for the fight is 155. And for the sake of argument let's just say that Spence comes in at 160 for the fight and Mikey comes in what he weighs now (152), that's still only 8lbs and if Spence comes in the same as his last fight it will only be 4lbs whereas the 135-140 Mikey was about 10lbs heavier than Loma who comes in at 138.

 

Yes he was dropped heavily by Walter Estrada

Technically he has but the fight you're alluding to, where he weighed in at 138, was against Elio Rojas who is listed as a featherweight on Boxrec and had only fought over 130 twice before and over the lightweight limit once.