This fight justifiably received a lot of criticism when it was announced with many seeing it as Canelo just taking another routine defence vs a faded name. However, even though I admit Mosley has massively declined and does look shot, I can't help but think this will still be Canelo's toughest fight to date. Sugar obviously hasn't won any of his last 3 fights but 2 of them were against Mayweather & Pacquiao where his negativity in truth wasn't going to get him a result in either. It's the draw with Mora which was the most worrying for me; his punches lacked snap, he seemed badly co-ordinated and he was caught far too often by a fringe world level fighter at best. But Mora & Alvarez are very different fighters and I actually think Canelo's style will suit him better. Alvarez likes to fight in the centre of the ring at range and is not a great one for using lateral movement to creat openings. And at his age & with the decline he has shown, I think that foot movement remains a key weapon to beating Shane, which Mayweather & Pacquiao both demonstrated. Instead, he likes to work off the jab and unleash combinations to both head and body with his left hooks being particularly noteworthy. But I think this is a style Mosley, even this version of Shane, can take advantage of. Alvarez's jab is heavy but pretty telegraphed IMO; I can see Mosley's right hand, which may not be as quick as it once was, countering over it. The speed may have gone but the accuracy in Shane's punches is something I don't think has diminished yet. I also question Alvarez's power & mentality still. He's had it very easy as a "world champion" thus far, in truth fighting a bunch of stiffs, for world level at least, who have often got a shot through their name rather than oon true merit. Canelo has been able to trade with these without fear and it affects his mindset I feel. His defence can be non-existent at times as he literally allows himself to take a clean punch to creat a gap for his own shot. That wouldn't work against Mosley I don't feel so I expect him to have to come up with a lot more disciplined gameplan to break down Sugar. His power too I can't see really making a hug impact so If I were him, I'd prepare for 12 hard rounds. Don't get me wrong, I do expect Alvarez to win. I expect him to outwork and outland Mosley over 12 but if he approaches the fight like he has in a lot of his other 'defences', I can see him putting himself under significant risk. I don't think Mosley is quite as bad as his last few performances suggest, I can see him putting in a much more spirited performance and the qualoty of that right hand could have a major say in the fight. I don't see him doing enough to win on pts but you never know, a stoppage W could be there for him if Alvarez is sloppy. What are other people's thoughts anyway? Am I being overly optimistic with Shane or does he still pose some sort of threat?
No. Nah I'm joking, I agree that it could well be Alvarez' hardest fight so far (which probably says much more about Canelo himself). But I still think he'll win easily. Mosley's just not that good any more and I personally think Saul Alvarez is really good.
No. I'm sticking to the facts: he hasn't won in over three years he's 40 years OLD he's gonna be much smaller come fight night he's so much slower now Canelo is pretty good 154 isn't his best weight
I agree to a degree Alvarez is overated, he looked terrible against Gomez and was hurt a few times, Mosley is shot but still a good fighter. The Pacquiao fight was for money 154 will suit him again.
I think Saul's hardest job will be getting Shane to fight tbh. He'll have to do a lot of chasing as soon as he lands a half decent punch...
Only in preventing Alvarez from getting the stoppage. It's very possible that he'll have his best pair of running shoes on the night.
Trouble with Shane is he has lost the confidence to pull the trigger. He's unlikely to have lost his power, though his speed isn't what it was, and his experience at top level is far beyond anything Alvarez can claim, but the head and the heart aren't working together for Shane anymore. His performances the last couple of times out have been embarassing to his great legacy. It'd be great if he could turn back the clock, and I'd love him to even be competitive, but I don't actually rate his chances any higher than Matt Hatton or Ryan Rhodes, which is hard to say for a big Mosley fan.
This is a good point. I'd like to think after all the experience fighting the top names that Mosley will be smart enough to be able to survive against a still pretty raw Canelo. I don't see Alvarez stopping him, but then I don't see Mosley getting close to winning either.
i personally think its a good fight. Ryan Rhodes and Matthew Hatton caused Alvarez problems. He is not that good.
:sad2 So only me then? Anyways I've added a poll to see what people think on the result. Regarding the Mosley coming to fight point, I think it won't be anyway near as much of an issue this time round. He must surely give himself a shot vs Alvarez whereas vs. Pacquiao, he basically got on his bike and became very negative once he'd felt Manny's power in being put down.
Mosley is shot, hes not gona let his hands go, after 3 rounds Alvarez should let his entire his arsenal go and he can be the first man to stop Sugar Shane.
I think Shane has lost confidence in his ability to take a whack, which has in turn completely disarmed him as an offensive force.