Are ther bookies underestimating Mosley?

No. Bookies set the initial line to stimulate equal betting on each opponent and then adjust the line to keep betting equal(in amounts wagered) on both outcomes so they don't get busted if it goes the wrong way for them. They are in the bet taking business not the prediction business. They make their living off the 10% vig they charge. Because people put there money were there mouth is betting odds are the single best prediction tool available before a fight begins. If the odds seem unrealistic to you it is because that is what betters have set the line through by their wagers and you can benefit from this imbalance by betting on Shane.

 

No. I think they have it spot on.