I see Adamek beating Povetkin easily, and since Arreola gave Adamek a hard time I think that Arreola beats Povetkin by points
I went with Povetkin by a decision, but made my choice with no real conviction. Arreola stood his ground with Vitali Klitschko and Tomasz Adamek, but lost to both men and hasn't beaten anyone of terrific calibur. On the flipside, Povetkin has beaten a few decent guys like Chambers, Chagaev and an aging Chris byrd, but has never been tested against fighters like Vitali or Adamek... Frankly, I don't know for sure, but I leaned towards Alexander and gave him my vote.
This is a fight I'd like to see, not Povetkin and Holyfield. Maybe Helenius will fight Arreola then, that would be a solid fight too, both guys have good chins and get hit a lot and have good power, though I think Helenius has bigger punches at the end of the day.
You are underestimating Povetkin in my opinion. The guy's got great stamina and movement for a heavyweight... even tough he's got many flaws in other department.
Cris is in shape and a much better fighter than when he fought Adamek. I think he wears down Povetkin and either stops him in the last third of the fight or takes a clear decision.
Arreola is fighting Wlad in dec, and Pot vs Holy same time. Arreola might get a shot vs Pot later in 2012, but not so soon after Wlad fixes his face for him.
Arreola is a bit underrated, and I think he'd win. Not that he's an elite boxer, but from what I've seen, his basic but consistent pressure and ability to put hard punches together out of a tight guard would help him get a late stoppage or decision against Povetkin's guard.