Winky Wright is taylor made for Bernard Hopkins. Bernard Hopkins' movement will nullify Winky's offense and his ability to strike from odd angles will force Wright into a defensive mode from which he will not be able to score. I don't understand why people call Winky Wright a chess player. He is not a chessplayer at all! He is basically very one dimensional, but his one dimension is pretty effective and suits him very well! He's not even a counterpuncher, in fact, he can't counterpunch a lick due to his poor balance and his defensive style. Winky needs his opponent to collaborate for him to be effective. He dares his opponents to try to hit through his guard, and most of them fall in the trap. Notice how Winky was unable to get anything going whenever Taylor, who's got horrible footwork, used some movement in the middle of the ring. The reason for this is that Wright needs two things to be effective: to plant his feet and for you to do the same thing. Now Bernard will not be doing that. Bernard will stay out of range with his superior footwork (watch the Eastman fight or the Tarver fight), feint a lot, and leap in when Winky outreaches with the jab. Bernard will do what Manny Stewart tried to get Taylor to do: punch at the same time Winky is jabbing. However, Taylor can't counterpunch because of his lazy footwork. Bernard can and will get in the right hand. MARK MY WORDS: Bernard Hopkins will win every round against Winky Wright.
I think Hopkins takes this one, in the latter rounds. He is quick, great movement around the ring. Winky can't match this. Wright's workrate is usually good, but if Hop isn't in a position to be hit, it won't work. I think the old fella still has some left in the tank and with his heavy hitting, he takes it in the 10th.
Very thoughtful analysis...I almost want to agree with you entirely. I agree that Winky definitely needs to have his feet planted AND his opponent's feet planted to be effective with his jab and occasional straight left. Hopkins' footwork will definitely force Winky to punch while moving which he does not like to do...I think Hopkins will move and try to lunge in with the straight right and hold Winky, but i dont think he will be too effective doing that. Once Bernard comes in, I can see Winky being effective with short hooks on the inside, and jabbing Bernard on his way out....One thing we know for a FACT: Bernard will be throwing about 20-30 punches a round, while Winky will be (at least attempting to) throwing around 90-100....any punches that Bernard does land will do very little damage to Winky (Jermain Taylor is a much harder puncher than Hopkins and he caught Winky flush many times, but it didnt do anything to him). I see Hopkins moving a lot, and giving Winky problems, but again, I see Winky pulling this out on volume.
Hopkins has good movement but at 42 can he sustain it and up his punch output when Winky puts the pressure on, I don't think he can, whoever controls the pace wins this fight.