Best Way to Predict a Fight?

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by kg0208, Nov 29, 2007.


  1. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    If you are trying to make an accurate prediction of a fight, should you look at 1-2 fights involving each fighter, 3-5 fights, or 10 or so fights? Should you be concerned at all with finding fights where the fighter in question fought a somewhat similar fighter in the past or not.

    You can vote for multiple choices in the poll.
     
  2. PacDbest

    PacDbest Boxing Addict Full Member

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    is this for your own cause KG????
     
  3. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Are you afraid of the outcome of the poll?

    Certainly it's obvious that I am questioning your method. I am just including others in the outcome. Certainly you have no problem with that since you usually lean on your fellow Pacquiao fans when trying to win an argument.

    So tell me your method and the reason that it works? You are confident that you are correct.
     
  4. psychopath

    psychopath D' "X" Factor Full Member

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    Yes in terms of capabilties and mental toughness but it doesn't always work because we don't really know the condition in which the fighter will come in into the fight. :D

    . . . really . . . the best way of predicting a fight is to stop being a fan for a while and analyzing it objectively. :yep
     
  5. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Right...but when being objective, how many fights would you need to give your objective opinion.
     
  6. acb

    acb De Camaguey... Gavilan Full Member

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    I dont have a standard for predicting fights, I just know when I can or can not make a valid prediction, and if I cant I wont do so. This usually means seeing at least 5-10 fights.

    I can predict with less fights than this, however, if the fight is a mismatch or there is a stylistic advantage for one fighter or the other.

    And only about 60% of my predictions are right as a whole.
     
  7. PacDbest

    PacDbest Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Duh KG!!! Of course the more fights you see, the better info you can get. But by just watching watching 1 fight of each fighters doesn't prevent you from predicting a fight. And by watching a lot fights doesn't guarantee you of accurate predictions.
     
  8. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Watching one fight of a fighter and then making a prediction AND a one year off bet is ill informed and silly PacD. You say DUH as though you know, but then instead of gathering more info before opening your mouth, you make a prediction anyways based off of one fight. Why wouldn't you wait and gather more info before predicting and making a bet? And why would you try to pressure someone else into making the same mistake as you did?

    Nothing guarantees anything. More information lessens the % of being wrong. And if I was making a year off bet like you just did, or in my case, because I like being informed, I would gather more info to give myself a better chance.

    Duh:deal
     
  9. cardstars

    cardstars Gamboa is GOD Full Member

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    I am comfortable making a prediction off of seeing 3-5 fights from a fighter. More doesn't hurt but keep in mind that their style may have changed since 6+ fights ago (or father time kicked in). The safest bet is to just put your money on the boxer though. Of course, I have been wrong before as you can see rom my avatar :patsch
     
  10. PacDbest

    PacDbest Boxing Addict Full Member

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    I was challenge by amsty, I just called it coz I know nonito more than any of you guys. I talk to the guy for Hours on 2 occasions. This guy have a confidence of a Mayweather. And the bet is only against Mijares, not Rafa, not vasquez, not to a guy bigger & faster than him. I'm not asking you to bet with me. I'm just asking you to make a Prediction.
     
  11. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Why are you asking me to make a prediction on something I never gave an opinion on and clearly said I had little information on? This would prove what? That I have balls or something? I would think going against my principles and making the prediction would prove otherwise.

    There are two fighters in a fight PacD. You know nothing about one of them. You are making a year off bet based on having long conversations with one of them (who you already clearly favor because of his nationality) and his confidence, something all good fighters have. It's unwise. Period.
     
  12. the_what

    the_what Bolo Punch KO Full Member

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    I just go with the darker skinned fighters. Im never wrong.
     
  13. elTerrible

    elTerrible TeamElite General Manager Full Member

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    a few fights should be good enough.


    Also age of fighters is very important, as we are always getting older fighters struggling against guys they would have blazed through in their earlier days.

    That is probably one of the hardest things to predict, how much an aging fighter has left and how they will do.


    For example, I expected Mosley to UD Cotto, but it appears he didnt have the activity needed to do so. He looked great KOing vargas, but vargas has been shot for a long time. So Mosley still has a lot left, but hes obviously slipped alot since he first went to 147 years ago. The Cotto fight would allow us to see that Mosley wouldnt be capable of UDing PBF in this day and age. Five years ago would have been a different story.
     
  14. kg0208

    kg0208 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I agree that a few fights should be sufficient. Recent fights.
     
  15. thesandman

    thesandman Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Pavlik's going to struggle to win any more fights if it's anything to do with you.... he'd have to fight ****ing Casper for you to pick him!!!!!