I'm going to put some money on Saunders. I won't be shocked if he is better fighter on the night. Something just tells me he is a bad matchup for Canelo. But ill be very surprised if he is good enough to overcome the 3 round handicap thr ginger boi tends to get. So I dont expect a return on my investment.
can anybody tell me what BJS has done to justify any sort of confidence in him? Lemieux? Sure, OK, it was a good performance, but let's be honest, Lemieux was tailor made for BJS, what has happened since then? Anything? I'll wait.. Saunders is living off one performance and it's starting to pee me off. Canelo spanks him senseless, it's going to be a brutal watch, brutal. Actually to be honest, I don't even think the fight happens, BJS will find a way to wriggle out of it.
Canelo to win at 1/5 implies an 83.3% chance of victory (you'd have to win your bet five times out of six to break even). If Canelo and BJS fought 100 times, how many would BJS win or even get a draw? Seeing as Canelo went 24 rounds with GGG without being wobbled, let alone dropped, I think we can safely rule out a Saunders KO. Then we look at the judging in the first GGG fight where I had Golovkin winning 10 rounds and we see a scorecard of 118-110 Canelo and a draw scored overall. And Saunders will be the B-side more than GGG was. Hell will freeze over before two judges give BJS 6 rounds, let alone 7 (that's if Canelo doesn't stop BJS late after he gasses). Saunders has not been a consummate professional over the years while Canelo has and Canelo is the better fighter to top it all off. It won't be difficult for all three judges to find 7+ rounds for Canelo. So all that being said, I don't give BJS even a 5% chance of getting anything from this fight other than a paycheck. Anyone thinking about betting on BJS should save their money and bet on Canelo, either outright or on points. The return is small but the risk is miniscule.
Billy is an undefeated 180cm tall slick Gypsy, he is the bigger man. He is supposed to outbox the smaller Canelo 160cm short Avtandil Khurtsidze 10-0 run vs top 160 contenders shocked the world, he had to be put in Jail, because he easily beats all DAZN products, no one wants to see his Middleweight heavily promoted products get stomped down by a violent midget
A fit, dialed in Saunders is a handful stylistically for anyone from 160-168. Canelo fights with a next level IQ, however, and simply has more wrinkles to his game. Canelo 116-112 in a competitive bout.
Didn't lose Didn't duck Too disagreeable to make deals BJS should be able to outbox Canelo, no shock no upset...close fight slightly favoring BJS
Didn't lose... yeah, true but he hasn't really fight anybody worth fighting. Didn't duck... hmmm, hasn't fought Canelo, GGG, Jacobs and a long list of others, maybe not blatant ducking but to me his resume suggests he avoids big fights Too disagreeable to make deals... What does that even mean? In my opinion he looks for reasons not to make fights, he finds excuses, any other fighter would be accused of pricing themselves out, asking for too much or ducking. Since Lemieux.. BJS went the distance with a shot to pieces Murray, struggled with Coceres and eventually got the stoppage very late, went the distance with Isufi, had old man Amadu retire. In roughly the same time Canelo has beaten GGG, battered Rocky Fielding, beat Jacobs, knocked out Kovalev at 175 and beat the apparent number 1, ring magazine champion at 168 Smith in a very very one sided lesson. There is no comparison, it isn't even close, BJS is not on the same level, this is about levels and BJS hasn't shown anything to suggest he is on the same level as Canelo, nothing. This may, at best for Saunders go a little like Kelly Avanesyan, if BJs is at his best then he will start fast, have a few good rounds and then Canelo will just beat him up.
I’d be shocked if BJS comes back to his old form and fights two good opponents in the same year. He has squandered his career and made so many poor choices. I liked him over Canelo a few years ago but we haven’t seen that BJS in a long time. Fury resurrected his career so anything is possible. Not sure if it’s probably for this guy although he’s a colorful personality and would make boxing more interesting if he came back. I don’t think he can KO Canelo and can’t see the judges giving BJS a decision no matter how well he does. His prospects of winning this one are very slim.
At 160, I'd give him every chance of giving Canelo a tough fight, not as tough as GGG, but a competitive fight. At 168 BJS has no chance. He doesn't have the power to hurt Canelo, nor does he have the size to assert his dominance in the ring.
It means BJS will not accept any $ at the expense of his legacy. It doesn't have to be a blatant dive, legacy is sold via concessions (catch weight or short notice or any other disadvantage in return for paper). When the Swiss debaser had the sit-down with 43-0 Canelo & then a jittery DLH...Canelo made a deal and became a vassal of Floyd Mayweather forever. Because of making deals, Canelo is basically a laborer from Floyd's POV If BJS loses, it boosts Floyd Mayweather legacy If Canelo loses, it boosts BJS legacy
Very good, rational analysis. Did you include Adelaide Byrd in you equations? Would impact Saunders' odds of losing very much.
Motivated master boxer saunders is as mythical as focused kevin mitchell , he beats anyone but never actually shows up. Saunders has stagnated and squandered his career after his big break against lemieux and ruin his opportunity against andrade, since then he is back fighting at euro level.
