Boxing Betting

With some UK bookies at them moment you can get Hopkins, to win, at 11/4 (nearly 3/1), and Pavlik as short as 2/9 - ie. stick a tenner on Bernard you win £27.50 plus your tenner back. Stick a tenner on Pavlik you win £2.20 plus your tenner back.

When the UK betting exchanges open the market for this match; Bernard will more then likely be at even longer odds.

Is it just me, or does Hopkins seem like a good bet at this price?

 

He sure does , but then thats how the bookies get you

 

To be honest I though this match wouldn't be far off evens for both of them. Perhaps Pavlik the slight favourite; certainly not a near red hot favourite.

 

If you fancy Hopkins I'd take that price, he's a good talker, when he starts making his case at the pressers he'll convince quite a few people he's worth a punt and the price will come in.

 

I think Hopkins would be good value.

For me, Pavlik's power will be taken totally out of the equation, and as he hasn't fought anyone with nearly as much ring savvy as Hopkins I see him becoming unstuck.

Hopkins close but clear UD, or late stoppage :deal

 

Roach has just come out, and stated that he's concerned for Hopkins health.

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Personally I'm more concerned for Pac's health. How Roach can allow him to jump up to 147 is beyond me. Very irresponsible.

 

That is funny and deadly seriously all at the same time, very eloquently put sir


Pavlik beats Hopkins. I'm quite sure of that. I think Hopkins is seriously on the slide, he'll still be tough, he'll still make it close, but he can't beat a young hard working guy like Pavlik any more IMO.

He can't apply enough pressure for a KO, and the judges have shown a dislike for Hopkins style in tight fights.

 

Yes, Hopkins backers should get in on that now its very good value. People are obviously buying into the Pavlik hysteria.

I will only be placing a conservative bet on this, as he'll likely get screwed over by the judges in favour of the new golden boy of American boxing. Then all his fans will justify it with "well Calzaghe got it on activity". This **** is predictable.

 

bookies call things wrong, make no mistake about that. If you know what you are doing you can win money off them long term...especially on a sport like boxing.

Hopkins has been underrated by the books for a long time (and I hate him), going back to when he was 3/1 against Trinidad. He was about that same price against Tarver and I think he may have been outsider against Winky too. He was also a stupidly big 8/13 against DLH. I reckon this 11/4 against Pavlik is overpriced due to all the hype. At the end of 12 rounds against Calzaghe, Hopkins was heavy favourite in the betting on Betfair....then the decision was announced. He still has enough to mug Pavlik.

 

I agree

My Betfair account shows a big loss overall on horses, profit on football and good profit on boxing

I happen to think boxing is relatively easy to bet on if you pick and choose wisely. For example Hatton rarely wins early, Joe and Hopkins and Winky and Toney will nearly always be in points fights. You don't get that predictability in many other sports.

Other fights - Margarito last weekend for example - are clearly close affairs to people who follow the sport - but the less popular fighter will be at a long price. I believe Margarito was 2-1 which (if true) is pretty long IMO.

I suppose that applies to Pavlik-Hopkins to an extent.

 

If someone had offered me 3-1 for Hopkins against Tito I would have put everything on it, ditto against Wright at a 170 catchweight!

Hopkins though will never win a close fight, the judges just don't like his style - a judge had him losing to DLH when all Oscar was doing was potshotting. I aren't a fan either, but see that this Pavlik hysteria will end - all this 'well Calzaghe did this' bollocks - Joe was pushed close to the edge by Hopkins make no mistake, and Joe is a far more rounded fighter than Pavlik, who is a one dimensional banger.

But Hopkins likes facing bangers - people are basing their opinions on this fight on thr fact that Hopkins lost to Taylor twice and Pavlik won twice - but I say watch the fights. It could be argued that Hopkins won both of those, having given away pretty much the first half of each, whilst Pavlik was one clean shot from being KTFO in the first, and was on the right end of a close UD in the second.

Back to betting....

Hatton is a hard one to pick - these are my recent predictions (all for Hatton to win)

Lazcano Round 4
Mayweather SD
Castillo Round 11
Urango Round 8
Collazo UD
Maussa Round 7
Tszyu UD (great odds!)

 

bhops getting ktfo in this one, i can feel it:good

 

Oh if you can feel it then that changes everything.

 

B-Hop is making a big step up in class from his last opponent so I expect him to lose in convincing fashion maybe by late KO.