British Forum BETTING thread

Discussion in 'British Boxing Forum' started by TFFP, Mar 1, 2009.


  1. AffectedToaster

    AffectedToaster Well-Known Member Full Member

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    i put a tenner on Barnes @ 6/1, so i think its worth a punt :good
     
  2. adamavfc

    adamavfc Member Full Member

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    yh i probz putt a 10a on it.
     
  3. RichT

    RichT Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Do you normally just go with single bets? Always the same stake on an average confidence bet?
     
  4. TFFP

    TFFP The Eskimo

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    Of course not. The stake is always determined by the risk. I don't do average confidence, average confidence + bookies prices loses. Only likely or extremely likely in my mind :D

    Well for this I just did a double of the two I liked which was Celtic and Roma as they were best priced and I liked them more than some of the others so it made sense. I do between 20-50 on a double normally, lower for a treble and I rarely do more than that. 20-100 on boxing though I have done really big ones occasionally if something stands out but not in a while. Probably not since Katsidis/Casamayor have I done a really big bet.
     
  5. LHL

    LHL Captain Freedom Full Member

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    Think my brother lost out because of the last minute goal from Sporting :lol:
     
  6. TFFP

    TFFP The Eskimo

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    He had Heerenveen?
     
  7. RichT

    RichT Well-Known Member Full Member

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    By average confidence I meant your average confidence level for a result you bet on (which as you say is either likely or extremely likely ;)) as against a result you really really like. The stake range for the type of bet pretty much answered my question. :happy

    Checked my bet history recently and I'm only marginally up. I need to start thinking about my strategy more if I'm to win anything. Have been just spreading bets around with no strategy or consistency. I've been guilty of placing far too many small stake bets at relatively long odds.
     
  8. LHL

    LHL Captain Freedom Full Member

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    Yep think so. Them, Glastasary, Bucherest and Copenhagen :lol: I love when he gets beat
     
  9. TFFP

    TFFP The Eskimo

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    Long odds and short odds are both bad strategy unless its really selective because over time you can never beat the bookmakers math when they are creaming off the top of the prices in their favour. I started off like that in university, hoping to land the jackpot with minimal risk but I was losing too much and it added up over a period. Suddenly I'd check my history realize I'm £100 down for the month...Shittttt I was startled. But eventually when I found a formula that works for me I actually paid off most of my university debt before getting a job. I had debt of £15,000 and over 3 years I chipped it down. That sounds a lot but over 3 years it isn't and I did that without risking life and limb.

    Try and keep around evens - 2/1 odds and see what happens, as long as your knowledge of your chosen markets is good I think it will turn out more healthy.
     
  10. LHL

    LHL Captain Freedom Full Member

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    You doing one for prize fighter TFFP? Sticking a few on Barnes tomorrow before work
     
  11. TFFP

    TFFP The Eskimo

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    Leiknir 2 - 3 KR

    They did win in the end, but I think the scoreline probably justified the decision in the end. They were 3-0 up actually and pegged back with 8 mins to go. I bet it was frantic at the end, the 1/3 presumably wasn't looking so good :D
     
  12. TFFP

    TFFP The Eskimo

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    Barnes is the one, just if he can get through that first round he's the most gifted fighter in it, that first round is the tricky one because it'll be a tactical battle between two good boxers lacking confidence after lay offs.

    Dunno, feels like just 10 for me. Can't say I have a high degree of certainty about any of them but I'm just looking forward to watching it.
     
  13. RichT

    RichT Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Oct 17, 2009
    Cheers TFFP. Appreciate the advice.
     
  14. RichT

    RichT Well-Known Member Full Member

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    :lol: It did sound a bit too uncertain given it was a friendly match.

    :good
     
  15. LHL

    LHL Captain Freedom Full Member

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    If Barnes had any other fighter in the first round i would be very very confident of him winning. Long lay off plus Lyno isn't and ideal start in this.