IMHO its an evens fight and I got 2/1. Shenchenko is better than Hatton, so at least you know (if you agree Shenchenko is better than Hatton) Nuz has lost to no one of Hattons level before.
Well I'd agree Senchenko is likely superior but then again he beat Nuzzy quite easily (on the cards anyway, I havn't seen the fight). And Hatton's at home, that always factors in quite substantially into any likely outcome IMO when you're expecting points. I don't tend to like backing people that havn't got the power to end a fight away from home. You'd always want that option as well as the chance he could outbox him. I'd see this as a good bet more if Nuzzy had some power, because when Branco and N'dou were hitting Matthew he looked a bit dodgy at times as if he could be KO'd by a sharp puncher. I don't see anything I particularly like about Nuzzy on paper, no KO record, no stand out wins, a couple of closeish looking fights.
To be fair anyone looking at it in laymans terms would say the same about Hatton. I've got no particularly strong feeling towards Nuzhnenko, and I certainly won't be going large on any bet I have on it, but for me like Gaz said, it seems an evenly matched fight (unless the Hattons have played a blinder on us). Neither have anything special about them, neither will set the world on fire, Hatton has the slight advantage with the home fight, but imo that doesn't make so much of an advantage as to justify being odds on and by a long way.
I see where you're coming from but Hatton's record is a lot more transparent and we've seen enough from him to know what to expect. It will be a typical no frills and quite boring workmanlike effort from him. Nuzhnenko could really be anywhere from tomato can with a padded record material to really quite decent. So the price is really just a big price for a big risk in that sense unless there is some footage I've missed. Especially when you throw into the mix he's old, doesn't seem to punch hard to score a KO and is away from home. There isn't a whole lot there that is convincing me to gamble on him, if there was some kind of decent win, a good punches record, footage, just anything to hang my hat on I'd be all over it too. But we're really only going off the fact Hatton is quite average and got outboxed by Craig Watson rather than what Nuzhenko brings and thats not a proposition I like.
I agree with you, Hatton fighting at home if the fight goes to the cards and the fight is even fairly close their going to give it to Hatton so the only way he loses is by KO and I don't see that happening.
That didn't happen against N'Dou though, that was a very close fight and Hatton didn't get it. That said, a draw would still mean a bet on N'Dou was down.
Here's some footage on Nuzhnenko http://www.boxing-core.com/videos/_Yuriy_Nuzhnenko_vs_Ikbal_Kurbanov?vid=10000789&tid=107
I'd thrown my lot in and put a massive tenner on him, but if that's anything to go by then I'm willing to accept that it's a tenner lost.
Yep, he looks poo. This is the problem, pretty record but you never quite know. If he was anything decent his promoters wouldn't wait til he's mid 30's to push him on. Ya never know though, ya could get a miracle but I see Magic Matt taking him.
Nuzhnenko looks shocking. He could of teed off on that opponent but he made it look hard work. Oh well looks like Magic Matthew will display a clinic on route to a UD and seal his date with destiny...Matthew Hatton...World Champion 2011..:dead.
'I can say that nobody in Europe is a better welterweight than me' :---( Can't believe he said that with a serious face because he beat a 40 yr old neverbeen.