As usual, i will be avoiding Taylors half of the draw and look for value in the other half, i dont fancy wade with stolen money and barney is coming onto a game now, im on him e/w at 16/1 and King e/w at 50/1, also a speculative wee punt on Klassen at 200/1.
Wade vs Alcinas Alcinas +2.5 - 11/10 with bet365. That means he has to take one set. That strikes me as a decent bet. Alcinas might even be worth a small bet at 6/1. Decent value there.
Lindsay was a bit of an amateur mistake, sorry lads. At those odds he was total shite value against a guy we know for a fact very rarely loses by a large margin and is near impossible to stop. You really had to be incredibly high on Lindsay to take that on, and frankly, I don't know what anyone saw to be convinced he was THAT good. Good, but not that good. Lebedev/Huck could be an early Xmas present. Now, I don't usually like taking a method in fights like this but in Germany it could be sensible to take the extra value of the stoppage. 2/1 Lebedev by stoppage I also like Lebedev in rounds 7-12 but as yet this is only priced by 2 bookies with Skybet at 4/1 which is a little disapointing.
I definitely think Lebedev stoppage not outright on this one feels right. The logic behind it is simple. I struggle to see Lebedev being so dominant in Germany as to win a decision, without KOing Huck. I don't see how that ever happens. Maybe a few times out of a hundred but not much to be worried about. Huck wears down dramatically late and has suspect whiskers, Ola is a non puncher and he was doing the chicken dance in there. The other things that could happen is Huck stops Lebedev in the first 6, I don't see a later stoppage for Huck because you see of his best work in 6 rounds, he gets on the bike actually. Possible. I don't think so, but possible. Or Huck edges out a decision with many dodgy moments. Again, possible. So we save some money in these eventualities. Lebedev decision is not figuring highly in my thoughts but ya never know, thats betting for ya.
He has the tools yes, thats not my point, my point is I don't think Huck has the tools to avoid being KO'd if Lebedev is successful enough to dominate. Huck's stamina is total ****, and his chin is mediocre.
I agree. Lebedev on points is the least likely outcome. He's going to need 8 rounds at least to get a decision, if he can dominate Huck enough to win most of the early rounds it bodes well for a stoppage win. The last thing Huck will do if he's losing is go for a moral victory in hearing the last bell. I know it's no real indicator, but Lebedev gave Enzo a real kicking..... far better than Ola and Frenkel did - Ola gave Huck a good argument. This is a gift from the bookies, a bit like the 4/1 I got yesterday on Simpson :yep
I lost on Lindsay. Annoying because I had Edwards in the same bet. For this weekend, I have: Mayorga Paulie Pascal Cloud Solis stoppage Lebedev stoppage Fury stoppage Twenty-five on gets me a little over four hundred back. I'm using a free bet with Sporting Bet.
Had bayaar pts on another bet that will run onto the weekend with a few footy teams tonight so i thought i would chance it with bet365 telling them i was not happy with the ruling on the bet, they have voided that part of the bet as a goodwill gesture, i advise anyone that had a bet on the bout to chance it aswell. :good