How do you arrive at that conclusion? I'm asking because this is one where I think KP would need the KO, or at least a couple 10-8 rounds.
Bute is bigger than Pavlik, faster than Pavlik, and has better defense. AND! the best southpaw on Kelly's record is the 2006 version of McKart. Contrary to popular opinion, Bronco was not shot in 2006, but he was not at Bute's level by a long shot.
this is another fight that will never happen. and although i like bute im going with Kp on this one in 10 being stoped by the ref. if it's in montreal with marlon as the ref. i say kp wins Sd . marlon will count to 30 before he counts bute out.
PAvlik probably by late KO, provided no hometown shenanigans from officials. If it goes to the cards, most likely Bute, esp. in Montreal.
Hrmmm.... If Pavlik's power is as good or near as it is at 160 for 168, I can see Pavlik outworking Bute for a UD. Id still favor Bute 65/35 as of now.