I like Bivol legs in this fight but it is certainly winnable for Canelo. I think Bivols movement will get him a UD.
At LHW Bivol beats Canelo decisively by decision. And also in a way that will make it very hard to rob Dmitry on the scorecards. Also, even a rehydration clause won't work, because Bivol will be able to make weight without any problems. I see Bivol beating Alvarez every time they fight. If it's 10 fights, Bivol will have 10 wins. I suspect Canelo will try to force Bivol to move down to 168. That's another story.
Bivol has the style that can give canelo fits but you can never ever count canelo out his experience in big fights is something you can't overlook. Bivol isn't a big lhw so size wouldnt be a big factor here. Pick em fight with a slight lean to canelo id love to see it
I hope that IF Canelo is to stay at 175 or infact at least fight another fight at 175 there are no more “rehydration clauses”. Outside of the IBF that is. He’s in a great spot at the moment, great fights to be made at 160 and 175, 168 is pretty weak imo at present outside of Smith and Benevidiez. Canelo has a chance against anyone not named Beterbiev or Gvozdyk imo.
Bivol is surprisingly close in size to Canelo. He's more of a tweener than a true light heavy. The fight would be pick-em. Bivol has better movement and activity. Canelo has better punch placement, power, chin, and experience. Size is a nonfactor for this one.
I've seen Beterbiev get hurt and hit the deck. I haven't seen that happen to Canelo. Canelo's defense and chin are in a different universe than those of Gvoz.