Canelo vs Calzaghe

Bet the house on Joe C Wales to befuddle Canelo, eat a couple counters along the way, and win 10-2.

 

Calzaghe might stop Canelo due to exhaustion late. Canelo has a tendency to gas. Imagine him trying to deal with Calzaghe's engine?

 

I doubt it. Canelo knows how to pace himself. When he gases he lowers his output so he doesn't tire. When Canelo doesn't over exert himself with big punches he has no gassing problems. (see his match vs Chavez where he stood up in between rounds the entire match) Canelo only gasses when he loads up on big shots like he did vs GGG. He did that to get GGG to respect his power.

 

prime Calzaghe is a different animal than mid 30s Calzaghe. Prime Calzaghe vs current Canelo would be hard to predict. Prime Calzaghe had speed and threw a lot of punches. Which could be a problem for Canelo. But mid 30s Calzaghe who fought Hopkins or RJJ especially : Canelo would mop the floor with those late versions of Calzaghe.

 

Yes, But Jones was not the same fighter, And was already brutally ko several times .

 

Canelo still not finished tho...

 

No he has plenty of time to beat more old men.

 

You think Floyd in 2013 was at his best?
I don’t see it that way. He looked much older and slower. Floyd’s speed and timing 5-6 years before were much better and his legs in 2013 weren’t even close to what they used to be. Floyd was still old, but Canelo’s style of waiting and hesitating is what made Floyd look as good as he did.

Canelo had an opponent like Floyd with old legs, but didn’t take advantage and let Floyd keep the pace slow and for the most part in the middle of the ring, which was great for Floyd. I almost wanted to stop watching the fight at the time, since it looked was pretty much a sparring session for Floyd.

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Maidana about a year later had Floyd moving all around the ring and you can see Floyd wasn’t able to be in cruise control like when he fought Canelo and actually showed some fatigue for once. Floyd was getting hit with a lot of shots he wouldn’t get touched by if he had been 5-6 years younger. Maidana unlike Canelo made the old man use his legs, but the only problem was Maidana himself started running out of steam in the midrounds, which is why he lost.

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I could see that for sure. Canelo does have heart though, and would never give up. Joe Cal is just too much for him.

 

I happen to agree with this 100%. Nicely put

 

You just compared prime Calzaghe to Chavez Jr. Besides, the version of GGG that Canelo fought couldn't even take out chinny Danny Jacobs.

 

Agree to disagree. That version of Calzaghe wasn't shot like Kovalev was.

 

We can agree that prime Calzaghe vs prime Canelo would be a hell of a battle. I think it would be unpredictable what would happen. Many scenarios could occur but I don't see a scenario where Calzaghe knocks Canelo out, it would take a miracle. Calzaghe's power at one time was decent but he also became known as Calslappy and a light puncher. Lets just say that out of all the possible fighters throughout history who might be capable of knocking Canelo out, Joe Calzaghe definitely isn't one of them.

If it happened it would be something like : (these are just ballpark %s)

30% chance Canelo wins a decision (on landing less overall punches but more high quality punches)
40% chance Calzaghe wins a decision (due to his high level of activity and punch volume which most judges favor)
2% chance it is a 12 Round Draw
10% chance Canelo knocks Calzaghe down (flash knockdown)
5% chance Calzaghe knocks Canelo down (flash knockdown)
5% chance Canelo knocks Calzaghe down multiple times
2% chance Calzaghe knocks Canelo down multiple times
5% chance Canelo knocks Calzaghe out
1 % chance Calzaghe knocks Canelo out

All the stars would need to align for Calzaghe to knock Canelo out. It is far more likely that Canelo would make Calzaghe pay for being over aggressive. Canelo would time Calzaghe and land shots when Calzaghe would throw too many punches. He could time Calzaghe in between his bursts of attacks in situations where Calzaghe isn't blocking since he's punching. Calzaghe's over aggressive tendency would be his downfall. When I say he could end up like Amir Khan I'm not joking. In that Calzaghe would try so hard to clearly win rounds he would leave himself open to big shots. You ask yourself could Calzaghe eat the uppercut that rocked GGG in the first match?

It would be a great fight and a big test at LHW. I agree it would be a more difficult match than Kovalev. Kovalev was very cautious, Joe wouldn't be as cautious he would be throwing a lot as that's his style. Canelo would look for holes in those bursts to counter to the body and land big shots.