I've seen a lot of people talk about how easy it will be for Mayweather to beat Canelo based on the trout fight which is completely wrong. First of all trout was taller than Canelonand had a longer reach, also Trout is a southpaw that alone would be a complicated fight, and last Trout was the same weight (1 pound less than Canelo) during fight night. This is why you can't compare the two fights. I'm not saying Canelo will win, in just saying he will make it interesting at least for a couple of rounds based on size advantage, power, his patience and Floyd looking a little sloppy at 154
The problem with the Trout fight is that Canelo looks slow as a turtle. Floyd will make him look silly just due to the speed difference.
To be blunt Canelo has more danger factor than most Floyd opponents with his size, skill, and power, but unfortunately doesn't have much of a chance even saying that, and that this fight has all the components to be an absolute stinker. Having watched Alvarez throughout a decent portion of his career, in my view his style can best be categorized as a somewhat aggressive counterpuncher. And when I say somewhat, what that means is that when he has a technique edge on his opponents(most of the time) and is given openings to counter, he comes forward and counters consistently while doing so. He looks very good when doing this. The problem for him lies in when that advantage isn't there. This has happened on two occasions facing better boxer type fighters in Alfonso Gomez and his last fight against the aforementioned Austin Trout. Gomez caused Alvarez lots of problems mostly by giving him good upper body movement coming in on him and leading with a solid jab to set up his offense, he also mixed up his punches well. Gomez didn't give Alvarez many openings technically to counter him, and as a result, Canelo didn't throw much at all and Gomez was arguably winning that fight prior to Canelo getting by all accounts a mega-fast money fighter stoppage in the 6th round that was probably the worst stoppage of the year at the time. Against Trout, again Canelo didn't have the technical openings to counter on a regular basis and his workrate was minimal in that fight as well. Canelo was given some praise for his defense, but the dirty secret there is that he was rarely able to make Trout miss and make him pay throughout, and Trout was somewhat predictable with mostly straight punching. That fight could have gone either way but in Texas as the money fighter Canelo was given a ridiculous edge on the cards. What all this leads up to is that the openings will be even fewer with Floyd, and not only that, Floyd has stacked the deck in his favor with the catchweight of 152 lbs. Canelo is a huge weight gainer on fight night, blowing up to as high as 172 lbs, and so that two pounds will likely be huge for him to make, hurting his already questionable stamina and making him more sluggish. Coupled that with Floyd probably playing the fight as safety-first as possible and what I see is a very low workrate fight from both guys, where Floyd occasionally single punch potshots Canelo with his jab and straight right and Canelo not being able to counter him at all with Floyd's technique and speed advantage.
Alvarez will probably look good for the first 3 or 4 rounds he may even be tied or slightly ahead at the midpoint of the fight. The second half of the fight will be very one sided. Once Floyd figures him out, he will take Alvarez to school. The Trout fight may actually hurt Alvarez in some way because I think he believes he is ready for Floyd after Trout and he could not be more wrong. Size means very little to Floyd, I actually think Floyd likes to be the smaller guy, it makes him quicker and more agile.
Canelo is not very patient. In fact that's one of the things that he needs to work on, if you are referring to the Trout fight.
