Canelo wins by 6th Round KO

How much and at what odds? A bold prediction, if true.

 

Your bet conflicts with mine (Cotto on points), but best of luck all the same. :good How come you picked the 6th, by the way?

 

6th rd ko has been in my head as well but logic is having me lean more towards a late rd ko

 

Are you sure it's going to be great? Assuming a normal distribution, you made a bet that's over two standard deviations outside of the mean.

In other words, the other side of your bet has over a 95% chance of winning.

 

You may as well have burned your $3, phag.

 

That assumes there is value at risk parity, which is a large assumption on my part.

What I mean is, the 22/1 odds may not even be enough to compensate you in the event your KO prediction actually occurs.

 

I'm not questioning your judgment or anything, but what are you basing this prediction on?

 

So you actually placed a heavy bet on MIGUEL COTTO getting stopped...in a specific round? It took a dude with brick hands 10 rounds to stop him.

 

Oh my god, the hiding of bank statements from your wife is never a good sign

Cash out now and buy her something nice, she might forgive you :rofl

 

Because the statistical odds of you actually winning may be even less than the odds that you were quoted.

It happens all the time in derivative trading, depending on the calculations you use, and even then, history doesn't always repeat itself.

Probability isn't everything, but chances are, you won't realize your bet.