Chad DAWSON v. Adrian DIACONU ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Decebal, Nov 23, 2007.


  1. .trunzx

    .trunzx The Hawk Full Member

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    Diaconu KO6 Dawson

    When your former trainer starts calling you a ****** I somehow doubt his mentality is anything but very poor. Dawsons going to get caught and Diaconu will finish him off. This isn't going to be another "flash" knockdown, even though he was clearly hurt in the past.

    I give Dawson a solid shot at winning a points decision however im leaning towards a Diaconu KO. I think he will take Diaconu lightly and get KOed.
     
  2. brooklyn1550

    brooklyn1550 Roberto Duran Full Member

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    Decebal, your analysis seems very well-thought out. I don't know much about Diaconu other than a few fights, so I can't give an analysis on this fight. I'll give a semi-educated pick...

    Dawson UD12 Diaconu
    117-111 x 2, 118-110
     
  3. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    What was your thought process for going for a wide UD but not a complete shutout? How do you envisage Diaconu getting those 3 rounds? I just cannot see Diaconu getting any rounds against Dawson without hurting him, and if he does hurt him in as many as three rounds, I would expect Diaconu to stop him for sure...:think
     
  4. LockDog387

    LockDog387 Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Any reason why Dawson is having a hardtime getting this fight televised? I mean his last four fights were on Showtime. Shouldn't Showtime pick this up?
     
  5. andyZOR

    andyZOR Obsessed with Boxing banned

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    Diaconu KO9

    Also, I don't really see the need for all these Dawson - Diaconu threads. Stick to one.
     
  6. pudding

    pudding Active Member Full Member

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    Ask Hopkins or Wright how much money comes with a title. Money comes from drawing fans. Hopkins and Wright were living on starvation wages until they got a fight with more popular opponents. Trinidad was Hopkins saviour, and Mosley saved Wright from singing for his supper at the Salvation Army.
     
  7. huki

    huki huk huk ^_^;; Full Member

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    You're really stuck on Dawson's chin. :D I don't think his chin is great, but you will see that even if Diaconu lands, it will not affect him.

    Diaconu is far from a top level puncher when it comes to power or technique. I would even say Dawson's power is a little better and definitely more proven than his. Diaconu's power is one of the biggest myths in boxing. He is also far from an elite fighter. He's going to be outclassed and we will see how mentally/physically tough he is when Dawson breaks him down round by round. I can't wait for this fight to be made.
     
  8. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    I agree!:D

    ;)
     
  9. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    huki, you are underrating Diaconu as a finisher and overrating Dawson's chin and mental strenght! If Diaconu hurts Dawson, he will finish him too!:deal
     
  10. huki

    huki huk huk ^_^;; Full Member

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    How many of Diaconu's fights have you watched? A lot probably, so you should understand that I'm overrating him as a finisher and power puncher if anything. He's an above-average puncher at best who's hype was generated from a knockout of Rico Hoye :)patsch) on ESPN. His punches may seem very powerful because of how dramatic they look, but they're not. Statistics and film don't lie and they both indicate his great power is a myth.

    When has Dawson showed weak mental strength?
     
  11. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    Diaconu is quite powerful but it is not his power that gets the results, in my view - it is the technique, precision and volume of his punches - they graze the face and forehead and can open up cuts - as happened against Hoye. Diaconu is an ice-cold finisher - he doesn't hesitate as Adamek did. More importantly, Diaconu is improving - don't base your appreciation of him so much on his early fights.

    Dawson has shown he loses concentration in the latter rounds against Adamek and gets hit more easily as a result, particularly by someone aggressive. After he was KD'ed - and that wasn't a big KD either - he found it quite hard to start boxing again...for the rest of the fight, he couldn't recover and didn't show anything special any more. These things point to a relative lack of mental strength, I think. I don't think Dawson can really improve his mental strength...and he certainly cannot improve his chin.

    So, not the best chin and not the strongest mind + pressure, good punching and killer instinct = good chance that if Dawson is hurt, Diaconu will finish him. No?:think
     
  12. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    I agree with sean, for example, who says that Dawson will shut Diaconu completely out. This can happen if Diaconu is not aggressive on the night or Dawson very reticent, perhaps because he doesn't want to take any chances.

    But I think it's more likely that Dawson will stop Diacon, because Diaconu will take a big risk, knowing he cannot outbox Dawson. Dawson will either get stopped - small chance, or, finish Diaconu himself in the process - most likely.

    But I think the chance is smaller for Dawson to win without shutting Diaconu out completely than for Dawson to be stopped by Diaconu, because if Dawson is hurt, I cannot see Diaconu not stopping him. Can anyone explain how Diaconu will get 3-4 rounds against Dawson without hurting him? He must hurt him to get a couple of rounds, because he won't get those rounds by outpointing Dawson. But if he can hurt Dawson, can anyone please explain how Dawson will survive? Why won't Diaconu be able to stop him?
     
  13. huki

    huki huk huk ^_^;; Full Member

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    You can't compare anything he did to Hoye to what he will do to Dawson. He will have major problems connecting any solid shots on Dawson and even though his awkward aggressive style might help him land a few big punches on him, it won't matter. Like I said before, his power is a myth.. he couldn't stop (or stopped very late) a large number of very weak-chinned opponents, even after landing a lot of power shots on them.

    Dawson's chin is underrated. When was he ever actually hurt by a punch (not a flash KD)? "I don't think Dawson can really improve his mental strength". He definitely could. He's becoming more comfortable in the ring and that improves one's chin and overall mental strength/relaxation. He didn't show he was mentally weak in the Adamek fight. He got off the canvas and went into safety mode instead of continuing to outbox him because he was WAY up on the cards, he had first title fight nerves, and he didn't need to put himself at risk to finish the 12th better. If anyone's mental strength is gonna be tested, it will be Diaconu's. Diaconu hasn't fought anybody yet and he's up against an elite fighter with unbelievable speed and boxing skills. We will see how strong he is when he becomes extremely frustrated after getting completely outboxed. It should be really exciting. :D Dawson TKO Diaconu.
     
  14. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    huki, I don't expect you have read my very long post; I am basically arguing that I think Dawson will have way too much for Diaconu. I agree with you that an early stoppage is very likely after Diaconu gets very frustrated and completely outboxed.

    However I disagree with you that Diaconu is not a puncher.
    :good
     
  15. RealIzm

    RealIzm Boxing Junkie banned

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    Diaconu will win easily. Everyone seems to underestimate his footwork, distance and timing, great defense. Mid-late KO for Diaconu. He's as much fun to watch as Tyson was in his prime. Dawson will feel the pain and try to run...until he gets caught...all very sad for Mr. Dawson and his fans:-( It should be rated R for the blood and gore. Cheers:good