~ Chad DAWSON v. Glen JOHNSON ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~

I'm predicting a late round stoppage for Glenn.

If Adamek could put Dawson on the ground in the midst of being very soundly outboxed, I see Johnson doing the same.

Dawson has the speed advantage, but Glenn has a very serious big fight advantage.

I think Dawson's dominating performance over Adamek is somewhat overrated, due to Adamek seriously struggling to make weight and the communication barrier in his corner that night.

Johnson will not be a sitting duck like Adamek because he will be forcing the fight.

Johnson will eat a lot of leather coming in, but each time he gets close he will make it count.

A big question here is, how does Dawson respond to pressure? If he backs straight up, he is going to eat some sick right hands.

As soon as Johnson starts touching Dawson's chin, the fight will escalate to Dawson trying to survive, and within a couple rounds of that, Dawson will be caught on the ropes and the ref will be forced to stop it.

 

Dawson by brutal knockout. He knows he has to prove a point to everyone about who the man in the division is. And Glenn is just too old anymore and been in too many wars. The future is bad chad. Hopefully after joe c beats hopkins, him and chad can get it on.

 

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He's also a hell of a lot sloppier. Glen won't give Chad nearly as many openings.

 

Dawson should win, probably by wide decision. The X factor here, however, is Dawson's chin, which is NOT top notch. If Glen can land one like he did on Roy, it could be all over for Chad. It is unlikely Dawson will knock Johnson out, but it could happen if age has eroded Glen's punch resistance. To this point that doesn't seem to be the case, so I go with Dawson by UD. He might taste canvas along the way, but he should come out victorious.

 

I don't think Johnson has any chance at all in this fight, even if he lands flush on Dawson. Johnson's one-punch power isn't good and he's very old. He's been on the decline during the past 2 years and the only advantage he might have over Dawson is his chin. I see Dawson completely outclassing Johnson and dropping 1-2 rounds to him at most (I would be surprised if Johnson won 2 rounds actually) before winning by TKO late in the fight. Dawson's speed and skills will be way too much for the slow, old Johnson who is extremely predictable, has a leaky defense, and doesn't have the stamina he had back when he fought Tarver and Woods the first time. Dawson is going to be at his best and he will destroy Johnson.. it will be sad to watch. I hope Johnson's corner stops the fight before Dawson hurts him badly. Dawson's power is slightly underrated and he's going to be landing at will on him during the second half of the fight.

 

Dawson by wide UD. Johnson is just too old to fight a young elite fighter. I hope that he already prepared his nest egg.

 

Here's some analysis. Dawson beats the **** out of Johnson, and puts him into retirement.

 

Let's not forget Dawson's excellent body shots. That would stop Johnson in his tracks.

 

Johnson goes to the body early on, and throws barrages of punches
Dawson tries to box, but gets pushed back by Johnson who is unfazed by Dawson's punches
By the end of 7th Dawson drops his hands and gets caught with a straight right to the jaw *BAM*, he stumbles to the ropes where Johnson pummels him until Tony Weeks steps in and waves it off

Johnson TKO 7

 

Dawson by UD. He will fight as safe as he only can to not get caught by Glen. I'd like to see rather Dawson vs Garay :yep . That would be great fight.

 

As always, Glen Johnson will give 110% and will make it Dawson's toughest fight to date, before eventually being overwelmed by the youth, handspeed, footspeed, strength, skill and power of the young Chad Dawson.

When you keep Glen Johnson at the end of your shots, then he is completely nullified. I see Dawson boxing, picking his spots, keeping Johnson at the end of his punches, and decisioning the old veteran by wide unanimous decision. I also wouldn't be suprised if Johnson was stopped late in the fight due to accumulation. This is Dawson's coming out party in the light heavyweight division and like he said, its his time to shine. He will shine come April 12th.

Chad Dawson by unanimous decision.

 

Ademek is a far bigger puncher than Johnson. Also, watch the last 2 rounds of Dawson/Adamek to see how he responds to pressure.
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Too fast, too strong, too good of a boxer, to lose to the older fighter.

Dawson wins by wide UD ... he's going to hold on to that title for while.