Great post!:good I agree chagaev is very underrated And I really think this is Wlads biggest test! But also we will see how much has wlad improved since sanders! I give Chagaev 35% chance!
You seem to have put some effort in your analysis, but you got it all wrong. Chagaev - the hardest hitting soutpaw since Sanders? You got to be kidding, he was considered a puncher in the early stages of his career, but when he finally stepped up in competition his KO ratio went down dramatically. He has one KO in his last six fights. How do we know Chagaev's is that great? It's pretty much untested, he has never tasted anything Wlad-like. Haye and Arreola have the best chance against Wlad because they at least have the potential to pull of a Sanders on Wlad - Chagaev doesn't have the ability/style to do that.