Don't think so. Lee has come on a lot since his defeat to vera. He def needs to work on his head movement but his outside game is one of the best in the division. He's got a great jab and I'm not sure of the measurements but he is surely taller and has a longer reach than chavez so will have advantages in that dept too
Must be odds on to go 12 rounds. Chavez will be favourite. Great opportunity for Lee. I'd love it if he beat him.
I like Andy Lee. I think taking a rematch against Vera which he didn't have to do showed what he's made of. I also i'm not the biggest fan of Chavez Jr with his and his braintrusts shenanigans. But i see what i see. It's not a good stylistic match-up for Lee. It's a very winnable fight, don't get me wrong. But Lee is as stiff as a board and gets hit really clean. Especially with back hands. I don't think he will hurt Chavez Jr seriously enough and i don't think he can keep him off on the inside. I think Chavez works that body, goes over the top and causes Lee problems and drowns him late. We shall see...
Thats pretty much how I see it. It should be another good test of Jr.'s chin if Lee can time him with some big right hooks and straight lefts on the way in.