Silva is in a different world. Take a look at all the wins that Leben has over top of the food chain guys. To say that they're all "lucky haymakers" the way some are saying is clearly just wrong. He has a different style of pucnhing that works with the smaller gloves and angles of MMA as opposed to boxing. Liddell also has poor "boxing technique" but is very effective. Even better is Spencer Fisher, who does all sorts of weird things that work well in MMA. Anyway, as sharp as Bisping has looked I don't think he'll hurt Leben. Cut, maybe, but I just don't see him beating him down and stopping him that way. I'll be here to admit I was wrong if it happens, but I suspect it'll be the other way around.
this isnt a walkover for bisping. chris leben is tough. he also posseses a BIG left hand. however i dont think this fight is happening, due to bisping not being able to make weight. here he is talking about it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6KBNnSLgoA
Your analysis thus far has been spot on, as far as I'm concerned. Leben's unorthodox striking game translates very, very well to MMA and he's knocked out a pretty impressive list of opponents. People trying to say it wasn't effective against Silva need to realize that it's because Silva is on a whole different level than the entire division. Of course Leben didn't fare too well. I think Leben has a really legitimate shot of catching Bisping. A granite chin and heavy hands are tough to counter unless you're a spectacular jiu jitsu fighter (which Bisping is not) or you're a top PFP fighter in the world (again, which Bisping is not). The Count may get a UD based on ground control, but he's not going to walk through the red haired freak.
Lebens got a pretty good takedown, top control, and guard game, I predict this will be the difference.
I have to agree about Lebens guard ever time he uses it he does a nice job of controlling his opponet and occasionally uses that rubber guard effectivly to break posture.
