You would lose that bet. Alvarez/Cotto had far more going for it than Golovkin/Alvarez would. First of all there is the Mexican/Puerto Rican rivalry. Secondly, Cotto is far better known to the general public than Golovkin. Boxing purists would be more enthused to see Golovkin fight Alvarez but it wouldn't do nearly as well as the Cotto/Alvarez fight.
Cotto-Martinez did 350K Cotto-Mayorga did 250K The only time Cotto broker over 400K was when he fought either a Mexican or a mega star like Pac or Floyd. Canelo did 300K against one of the most boring an unknown fighters in the sport. Canelo-Mayweather did 2.2 Mil Cotto-Mayweather did 1.2 Mil
Like I said, Alvarez makes a good dancing partner but he needs an attractive opponent also. I am willing to admit that Alvarez is probably the third most popular ppv star currently boxing behind Pac and Cotto.
Just throwing this out there, but i was watching A Los Golpes on Monday and they were saying that the ppv buys were at least 1.1 mil. I think its weird that the first numbers reported since the day after the fight still stand 2 weeks later.
Not a great sign for boxing when their two biggest stars don't hit a mill when facing eachother, and their other supposed big name didn't break 200k when facing an exciting puncher. This confirms what I thought would happen after Mayweather. And that is a slight slump in numbers for boxing for a little while. It happens. Especially because outside of the most diehard of boxing fans, Mayweather fights usually left a sour taste in sports fans mouth that for some reason they paint the entire sport with (the whole "this is why I don't watch boxing' idiocy.) Mayweather and Pac numbers were created largely because of the hype around their De la Hoya numbers. Hoya passed them the torch so to speak.... and Pacs numbers have dwindled down along with his stock, so not sure hes able to pass a torch at this stage, and Mayweather obviously didn't pass a torch, so now boxing has to grow its next stars organically. That takes time. The winner of Golovkin Canelo, if they fight, will be the true superstar (in America) of the sport.... but until then, if that fight even happens, I don't expect boxing in America to register many box office hits. Boxing just had a ratings golden age, I expect the next few years to be a regrouping of sorts. Winner of Golovkin Canelo will be the exception to that, but even then, big stars still need semi big name opponents to really make the hits and the winner doesn't have many big names to fight, if any. Just imo
To be fair, Cotto/Martinez only did around 350k. I think it was the rivarly and the possibilty of a great fight breaking out between two warriors which peaked peoples interest in the fight. Turned out to be a very good tactical fight, rather than a war which i still enjoyed watching.
It would be interesting to hear on what basis someone thinks Cotto is more popular than Canelo is at this point. Canelo did the highest non ppv numbers on cable in almost the last decade when he fought Kirkland.... at over 2 mill. You combine that with the fact Mayweather set records with him, and not Cotto, its apparent that Canelo is at least the second biggest fighter in America.
Your post is on the money mate, but Mayweather/Cotto did 1.5 mill.. And Canelo/Mosley had a lot to do with it too.