Yeah, tempo and range, tempo and range. See, I think Chagaev has shown himself to be an excellent judge of range, and I also think he is more mobile than he generally gets credit for. But he can't fight the high tempo fight necessary for 12...can't see it. Well I got Cotto, but as I was saying earlier in a different thread - we find out about Cotto tonight. I felt he had lost a bit against Jennings, or maybe was just rusty or a little hesitant. Some beating he absorbed. That split second could cost him against a fighter like Clottey. But i'm picking Cotto.
Yeah, he's smart enough to know the fight he is in. The thing is that he'll probably want to bring punches across himself whilst moving away from Wlad, so yeah, unfortunately, an Ibragimov clone is possible - but the difference is, Chagaev isn't stiff. He's coming to win, I believe. So he may have a box of tricks that'll allow him to make a change. Let's hope so. Most of all the division needs a good fight...
Vlad probably is a very good ring general; the facts would back him up there I would say. I just always think he looks like a ****-scared school kid every time someone throws a punch back at him, seems to lose his cool completely. I prefer Chagaev, mainly because he is working at a physical disadvantage against the bigger HW's around. I think Chagaev works better under pressure as well; Skelton isn't top-notch by any means, but he put pressure on Chagaev early doors and Ruslan never looked uncomfortable. I take your point though.
i just dont see Chageav controlling the range, he is an excellant judge of range but he has to get through Wladimirs jab to get to use it and that is a big ask. Well im being harsh he will get to use his distance judging by judging how far away he is from Wlad when the jab lands. As for the tempo i agree i cant see him controlling the tempo for 12 rounds as Wlad is very very hard to controll the tempo against he really slows down a fight i think it will be a good fight though intreseting maybe not a barnstormer but an intriguing taciacal affir
Well it's a question of timing. In an ideal world Chagaev would look to move off, bring Wlad onto him, then close the distance suddenly with a hard punch and look to work off it. The thing is, Wlad has become almost impossible to bait and draw in. The jab, just like you said. And he's right, too, that's the right way for a man of his limitations and talents to fight. Thing is, that's an Iggy two type fight. One trying to draw, a jabber refusing to be drawn. I'm interested to see what Chagaev does then, if this impass occurs. God help him if he's not come with a plan B, he will get royally ****ed.
Wlad does seem to panic when attacked but we havent seen it in a while so maybe he is over it. And as he controlls the range maybe he wont be in danger of too many shots coming his way. Also i have heard Wlad actually suffers panic attacks when he is attacked suddenly like the Sanders fight but i dont think Chageav is the type of fighter to cuse them though Chageav works better under pressure but does Wlad really pressure a fight i think he is more a counter puncher hell stand in the middle of the ring jabbing all night or hell spend it backing up all night but not going forward
Wlad is impossible to bait in as he does hardly ever actually pressure and i really dont see him falling into Chageavs traps as Manny will have it worked out not to do that and Wlad will follow his orders to the tee. Wlad has to controll the fight with his jab as you say. As he dosent cope well under pressure but i see no reason why he cant actually let Chageav come forward at him. As Chageav is a very small Heavyweight and will have to come well in Klitschkos reach to land his own shots so he will be a prime target for an uppercut which would be damaging and maybe stop Chageav being so keen to come inside. However i think chageavs best bet is to get inside and stay inside and work away in range as Wlad is not an inside fighter and then he can really use his height to an advantage. I dont see his in and out style working here
I'm not disputing that Vlad is the favourite in this one. I just think that Chagaev is more of a thinking man's fighter, whereas Vlad uses his physical advantages to the max.....but in an intelligent way, if that makes sense. Sorry, the beers are starting to affect me.
it makes sense ina weird way Chageav thinks better in terms of being a fighter whereas Wladimir thinks better in terms of an athlete im not even drinking and im not making sense
Chags problem is that while he's waiting for "the right" time, Wlad is winning the rounds with his jab and he's quite happy doing that for 12 rounds if needs be.