Cotto Looks Great & Will Beat Floyd Mayweather Jr: Here is Why

acb · Apr 13, 2008

I have watched Cotto carefully over the past few fights and his marks for improvement are high. Although he faced a weak opponent tonight, he utterly destroyed him and demonstrated his continued evolution in several areas. I will expand on some of these areas now in comparison to his past. This improvement is my basis for picking him against Floyd in a 2009 fight:

Straighter Punches: His right hand is being thrown directly down the pipe, and his hooks have less windup and are being delivered through a more economic structure.

Understanding and Manipulation of Tempo: He has become very adept at manipulating the tempo of his punching, taking something off his punches and putting something back on when neccesary. This use of tempo is difficult for opponents to and adds another wrinkle to a preasure fighters game. He has always understood how to apply preasure, but now this preasure is even more difficult for opponents to percieve.

The Jab: Cotto has quietly developed a quick, piston like jab which he uses to move forward while nicely tucking his head just behind his lead shoulder.

Speed: He is becoming faster and faster, this much is obvious. His punching technique has become more fluid and he is no longer as tense as he used to be while looking to destroy the body. Some of this developement is due to relaxation and patience in the ring, and some is due to improved, tighter punching technique.

Now, add this to:

1. A 27 year old, prime fighter
2. Who has been perfectly managed
3. Who has not been damaged in the ring
4. Who has one of the best digging left hooks in the sport
5. Who understands how to apply educated preasure properly
6. Who fits perfectly into the 147lb weight class without draining
7. Who shows improvement every fight
8. Who stays within his mental process and is rarely affected by out of the ring banter
9. Who lives a clean life with his family out of the ring

... And you have the toughtest fight of Mayweathers career. Mark it down. :deal

YOUNG*LORD · Apr 13, 2008

acb said:

I have watched Cotto carefully over the past few fights and his marks for improvement are high. Although he faced a weak opponent tonight, he utterly destroyed him and demonstrated his continued evolution in several areas. I will expand on some of these areas now in comparison to his past. This improvement is my basis for picking him against Floyd in a 2009 fight:

Straighter Punches: His right hand is being thrown directly down the pipe, and his hooks have less windup and are being delivered through a more economic structure.

Understanding and Manipulation of Tempo: He has become very adept at manipulating the tempo of his punching, taking something off his punches and putting something back on when neccesary. This use of tempo is difficult for opponents to and adds another wrinkle to a preasure fighters game. He has always understood how to apply preasure, but now this preasure is even more difficult for opponents to percieve.

The Jab: Cotto has quietly developed a quick, piston like jab which he uses to move forward while nicely tucking his head just behind his lead shoulder.

Speed: He is becoming faster and faster, this much is obvious. His punching technique has become more fluid and he is no longer as tense as he used to be while looking to destroy the body. Some of this developement is due to relaxation and patience in the ring, and some is due to improved, tighter punching technique.

Now, add this to:

1. A 27 year old, prime fighter
2. Who has been perfectly managed
3. Who has not been damaged in the ring
4. Who has one of the best digging left hooks in the sport
5. Who understands how to apply educated preasure properly
6. Who fits perfectly into the 147lb weight class without draining
7. Who shows improvement every fight
8. Who stays within his mental process and is rarely affected by out of the ring banter

... And you have the toughtest fight of Mayweathers career. Mark it down. :deal
Click to expand...

Great post!

jlrivera81 · Apr 13, 2008

i'm with you 100%

jecxbox · Apr 13, 2008

acb said:

I have watched Cotto carefully over the past few fights and his marks for improvement are high. Although he faced a weak opponent tonight, he utterly destroyed him and demonstrated his continued evolution in several areas. I will expand on some of these areas now in comparison to his past. This improvement is my basis for picking him against Floyd in a 2009 fight:

Straighter Punches: His right hand is being thrown directly down the pipe, and his hooks have less windup and are being delivered through a more economic structure.

Understanding and Manipulation of Tempo: He has become very adept at manipulating the tempo of his punching, taking something off his punches and putting something back on when neccesary. This use of tempo is difficult for opponents to and adds another wrinkle to a preasure fighters game. He has always understood how to apply preasure, but now this preasure is even more difficult for opponents to percieve.

The Jab: Cotto has quietly developed a quick, piston like jab which he uses to move forward while nicely tucking his head just behind his lead shoulder.

Speed: He is becoming faster and faster, this much is obvious. His punching technique has become more fluid and he is no longer as tense as he used to be while looking to destroy the body. Some of this developement is due to relaxation and patience in the ring, and some is due to improved, tighter punching technique.

Now, add this to:

1. A 27 year old, prime fighter
2. Who has been perfectly managed
3. Who has not been damaged in the ring
4. Who has one of the best digging left hooks in the sport
5. Who understands how to apply educated preasure properly
6. Who fits perfectly into the 147lb weight class without draining
7. Who shows improvement every fight
8. Who stays within his mental process and is rarely affected by out of the ring banter
9. Who lives a clean life with his family out of the ring

... And you have the toughtest fight of Mayweathers career. Mark it down. :deal
Click to expand...

And this is why I want to see Floyd vs Cotto. I'm a Cotto fan but I don't really want to see it just to see if Cotto can beat Floyd's ass. I just want to see a very challenging fight for 2 amazing boxers. I am not overrating tonights performance although Cotto came into the fight with unbelievable conditioning. But Cotto proved tonight that he is in another class and he is among the top notch fighters and he has been all along. Floyd knows Cotto's talent is among the best in the sport and he will fight Cotto in 09 when the promotion for this fight is at its highest.

May the best man win!

Symphenyceo · Apr 13, 2008

oh boy

jaco · Apr 13, 2008

Yes Cotto will beat Mayweather if they ever fight, Cotto keeps on improving while Mayweather can only fade due to age and inactivity.

This is basically just a brief summary, if the fight is ever made ill do a complete anlysis.

What are Mayweather's Weaknesses/What is he Vulnerable to?

-A Strong, accurate jab that allows the opponent to get inside. (Evident in the Castillo/DLH Fights)

-Technical pressure and ability to cut off the ring.
(Not wild all-out pressure like Hatton, Chavez etc. Floyds weakness was shown in the Castillo fight.)

-A Strong Fighter who is able to keep him on the ropes and punish him with hard, crisp shots.

-His tendency to Lay on the ropes and go into a defencsve shell, while throwing very few punches.

-His Tendency to take rounds off and just Circle and only through 30 or so Punches.

What does this Mean?

This means that the perfect fighter to defeat Mayweather is a none other than Miguel Cotto. Looking through all the points its quite easy to see that Cotto's style and abilities fit perfectly into what Mayweather is susceptible too.

How would the Fight go?

Floyd generally takes a few rounds to figure his opponent out and get his rhythm, and will take about 3 rounds to really get going. Cotto will come out and try to land his snappy jab allowing himself to get inside and work the body. While Mayweather is potshotting and attempting to land his lead right (Which he will land quite abit) Cotto will be jabbing and forcing Mayweather into the ropes.

In many of Mayweather previous fights, whenever he gets hit by a solid jab he tends to instinctively go and lay on the ropes, allowing the opponent to get inside, a bad move against Cotto. On the Ropes PBF will look to counter punch Cotto with stinging uppercuts and right hands. While Floyd may land many countershots, Cotto workrate on the ropes will ultimately benefit him most. When Mayweather has an opponent continuously hitting him, he tends to focus more on defence then offence, basically leading to Cotto outworking him due to his higher punch output. Cotto's body attack will wear Mayweather down and allow Cotto to come on strong in the Championship rounds. Also unlike Hatton, DLH or Judah, Cotto has a great mentallity and will stick to his gameplan throughout the fight and wont lose his cool under pressure.

The Story of the fight will be Cotto winning most rounds due to his higher workrate and ability to get inside by his accurate jab.

Cotto UD (8-4)

:good

psychopath · Apr 13, 2008

jecxbox said:

And this is why I want to see Floyd vs Cotto. I'm a Cotto fan but I don't really want to see it just to see if Cotto can beat Floyd's ass. I just want to see a very challenging fight for 2 amazing boxers. I am not overrating tonights performance although Cotto came into the fight with unbelievable conditioning. But Cotto proved tonight that he is in another class and he is among the top notch fighters and he has been all along. Floyd knows Cotto's talent is among the best in the sport and he will fight Cotto in 09 when the promotion for this fight is at its highest.

May the best man win!
Click to expand...

Yes a great fight between two great fighters. :yep
Good one! :good

Fedor Em · Apr 13, 2008

He has the timing, footwork and tools to give Floyd hell.

Caliboxing · Apr 13, 2008

I feel that Cotto has the greatest chance of any welterweight out there to beat Mayweather.

Betty Swollocks · Apr 13, 2008

It's obvious Cotto is a serious threat to the p4p king. Sadly, said P4P king is looking for big paydays against weak opponents...he's been doing it for a while and there's even talk of a rematch with B level Ricky Hatton. What a ****ing joke.
Floyd stop running from Cotto andf Hatton stop ducking Witter.,

BlueApollo · Apr 13, 2008

The jab alone was shockingly good tonight. Against Gomez, of course. You could make the argument that Floyd's defense and head movement will almost completely nullify any Cotto jabs.

Acb, I'm curious, who do you see being forced to lead in this fight? Two years ago I saw Cotto as a pure stalker, but he's added deceptive movement to his game in the time since. Anyone who just tries to walk in against Floyd will be too square (Hatton) and meet a similar fate. Is it just me, or has Cotto become dynamic enough to have other options now?

psychopath · Apr 13, 2008

Betty Swollocks said:

It's obvious Cotto is a serious threat to the p4p king. Sadly, said P4P king is looking for big paydays against weak opponents...he's been doing it for a while and there's even talk of a rematch with B level Ricky Hatton. What a ****ing joke.
Floyd stop running from Cotto andf Hatton stop ducking Witter.,
Click to expand...

Hit the nail right on the head brother.

acb · Apr 13, 2008

BlueApollo said:

The jab alone was shockingly good tonight. Against Gomez, of course. You could make the argument that Floyd's defense and head movement will almost completely nullify any Cotto jabs.

Acb, I'm curious, who do you see being forced to lead in this fight? Two years ago I saw Cotto as a pure stalker, but he's added deceptive movement to his game in the time since. Anyone who just tries to walk in against Floyd will be too square (Hatton) and meet a similar fate. Is it just me, or has Cotto become dynamic enough to have other options now?
Click to expand...

His jab was excellent. I am not just basing it on tonights fight, I have seen a steady evolution with his jab. Its gained speed, accuracy, and fluidity in the last few fights. Floyd won't nullify his jab, although of course he won't be hit with it like Gomez was. And Cotto doensn't need the jab to land as much as he needs it to control distance, to preasure effectively, and to position himself where he can use his bread and butter left hook to the body.

I see Cotto coming forward, patiently, behind his jab. I see Floyd backing up, throwing right hand leads, and using lateral movement. Floyd fought off his back foot against Hatton and so I have no reason to believe he won't do the same against Cotto.

Cotto is more dynamic, but to beat Floyd its all about effective preasure. He can get cute now and box his man, but this obviously won't fit the bill against Mayweather.

boxeoboricua78 · Apr 13, 2008

jaco said:

Yes Cotto will beat Mayweather if they ever fight, Cotto keeps on improving while Mayweather can only fade due to age and inactivity.

This is basically just a brief summary, if the fight is ever made ill do a complete anlysis.

What are Mayweather's Weaknesses/What is he Vulnerable to?

-A Strong, accurate jab that allows the opponent to get inside. (Evident in the Castillo/DLH Fights)

-Technical pressure and ability to cut off the ring.
(Not wild all-out pressure like Hatton, Chavez etc. Floyds weakness was shown in the Castillo fight.)

-A Strong Fighter who is able to keep him on the ropes and punish him with hard, crisp shots.

-His tendency to Lay on the ropes and go into a defencsve shell, while throwing very few punches.

-His Tendency to take rounds off and just Circle and only through 30 or so Punches.

What does this Mean?

This means that the perfect fighter to defeat Mayweather is a none other than Miguel Cotto. Looking through all the points its quite easy to see that Cotto's style and abilities fit perfectly into what Mayweather is susceptible too.

How would the Fight go?

Floyd generally takes a few rounds to figure his opponent out and get his rhythm, and will take about 3 rounds to really get going. Cotto will come out and try to land his snappy jab allowing himself to get inside and work the body. While Mayweather is potshotting and attempting to land his lead right (Which he will land quite abit) Cotto will be jabbing and forcing Mayweather into the ropes.

In many of Mayweather previous fights, whenever he gets hit by a solid jab he tends to instinctively go and lay on the ropes, allowing the opponent to get inside, a bad move against Cotto. On the Ropes PBF will look to counter punch Cotto with stinging uppercuts and right hands. While Floyd may land many countershots, Cotto workrate on the ropes will ultimately benefit him most. When Mayweather has an opponent continuously hitting him, he tends to focus more on defence then offence, basically leading to Cotto outworking him due to his higher punch output. Cotto's body attack will wear Mayweather down and allow Cotto to come on strong in the Championship rounds.

The Story of the fight will be Cotto winning most rounds due to his higher workrate and ability to get inside by his accurate jab.

Cotto UD (9-3)

:good
Click to expand...

A very well explained analysis, however I do see the fight closer than you have it, It would most likely be a split desicion unless of course Cotto can land enough clean flush body shots to slow Mayweather and his head movement down and possibly end the fight early.

BlueApollo · Apr 13, 2008

acb said:

His jab was excellent. I am not just basing it on tonights fight, I have seen a steady evolution with his jab. Its gained speed, accuracy, and fluidity in the last few fights. Floyd won't nullify his jab, although of course he won't be hit with it like Gomez was. And Cotto doensn't need the jab to land as much as he needs it to control distance, to preasure effectively, and to position himself where he can use his bread and butter left hook to the body.

I see Cotto coming forward, patiently, behind his jab. I see Floyd backing up, throwing right hand leads, and using lateral movement. Floyd fought off his back foot against Hatton and so I have no reason to believe he won't do the same against Cotto.

Cotto is more dynamic, but to beat Floyd its all about effective preasure. He can get cute now and box his man, but this obviously won't fit the bill against Mayweather.
Click to expand...

Very interesting.

Gomez was getting one thing done before he was bludgeoned to death tonight. When he closed with Cotto, he was landing sneaky uppercuts on the inside. I'm still not sure if I can see Cotto coming up with an antidote for Floyd jumping in with single shot lead hooks and straight rights, then jumping back out before the return fire gets there. Unless he can counter the lunges, but the only guy quick enough to do that was a fresh Zab.

Keep this thread sane until tomorrow morning. I don't want to see it devolve. :good

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