Crawford vs Spence jr prediction thread

I'm going to bet it closer to when the fight goes off. I'm pretty sure Spence money is going to flood in at the odds being offered. If Crawford is anywhere near -125, I'll probably just bet the Crawford ML. At worse odds than that, I'll do half ML and half Crawford by KO.

Same prediction for me, I think Crawford stops him late in the fight. Spence has been hurt too many times and he's coming off a long layoff. I've criticized Crawford for his resume being ****-poor for a P4P entrant but I still think he's the goods. He's going to catch Spence at some point and hurt him. And Crawford is nasty in there and a good finisher, he'll stop Spence IMO.

 

Bud got hurt against Deverenchenko and Gamboa, if memory serves me well.

 

Spence UD12. I think he actually drops Crawford.

 

Imagine if that actually happened? It could be a body shot that puts Crawford down.

 

I got Spence by KO

 

Bud by KO.

I will bet on that.

Not really a 50/50 fight for me, like some boxers are saying

 

I think there are enough things working in Erroll's favor that he wins a close decision.
1) The fight is in Vegas and Vegas loves the A side, so perhaps the close rounds will go to Spence (that is just the way boxing is. No point being ignorant about it as if it isn't true)

2) Terrence is a slow starter, and although Erroll isn't exactly a fast starter, I can see his style banking more early rounds than Terrence's style. If Crawford has him figured from jump, this is a whole different fight.

3) Erroll was able to crack Floyd's defense. He is gonna be hitting Crawford clean so anyone fantasizing that "Terrence is gonna get mad and flip the switch and put Errol out" don't seem to be accounting for what is coming back at him. That can and usually does change a fighter.

4) People are assuming the car accident made Erroll worse. I'd argue it changed him for the better. An example is him having a nutritionist.

In the end I see a really close fight with both having their moments, but Spence wins 115-113 or 116-114. I think the early rounds I believe he will take will be the difference.

 

Crawford via ud in a boring fight

 

I got Spence. Both of them are good adaptors. A strong strat will be important. Should be a good fight. A stoppage is necessary for the health of the sport. Too many controversial decisions lately

 

Spence has success putting pressure in the early rounds.
Crawford adjustes his boxing and start fighting back around round 4
Spence cannot put more pressure without a real risk of going to the ground
Crawford's killer instinct takes the control of the fight around round 8.
Round 10 Spence is sleeping on the canvas or quitting.

 

I don't understand why people think that what Spence is going to do to Crawford is going to have near nil affect on TC but that TC is just going to suddenly crank Spence and Spence is going to immediately fold. If Spence is able to do his thing for 6 rounds, you aren't going to see the same Crawford you did against these other dudes he KO'd.
Some of you believe that the least likely scenario is instead an absolute given. I just don't understand why Spence is being so undersold here. Like Benevidez was a zombie and it took Crawford 12. You think Spence is going down quicker when he is more likely to have actual success against Crawford which Benevidez didn't? How does that make sense?

 

I think Spence will use his size, apply pressure and be too much for Crawford,

Spence 8 rounds to 4 type of fight.

 

I think that a guy who cant take Ugas's punches will crumble with Crawford's counters. Easy as that.

 

I'm going to take Crawford, it was a hard pick, but I hope it's the right one. This fight is 50/50 imo

 

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