~ Cristian MIJARES v. Alexander MUNOZ ~ ANALYSIS and PREDICTION Thread ~

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Decebal, May 12, 2008.


  1. jaco

    jaco Thomas Hearns Full Member

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    Cristian Mijares vs Alexander Munoz Fight Analysis

    What do you think each will bring to the table?

    Cristian Mijares
    -One of the best Jabs in boxing
    -Defence
    -Speed
    -Footwork
    -Workrate
    -Timing
    -Accuracy
    -Combination Punching

    Alexander Munoz
    -Power
    -Pressure
    -Chin
    -Body punching
    -Can stand his ground and trade
    -Strength


    What do you expect their strategy to be?

    Cristian Mijares
    Cristian will have to move and utilize his superior jab and range in order to outmanouver the slower Munoz. He will do his usual routine of peppering the opponent as they attempt to work there way inside and avoid laying on the ropes.

    Mix body punches in with his quick combos to slow Munoz down further and attempt to not get drawn into a close-quarters battle. He must especially use his superior footspeed in order to make Munoz miss and set up counter-oppurtunities with the straight left and right hook.

    Alexander Munoz
    Due to his severe disadvantage on the outside, Munoz will have to lay the pressure on and attempt to get Cristian fighting in close. He should try to land his own jab over Mijares's in order to get an easier path in close and disrupt Cristian's rythm.

    On the inside he will want to invest in body punches in order to slow Mijares down and get the advantage. In keeping the fight up-close he will be able to negate Cristian's range and jab aswell as land his own hard punches. Pinning and keeping Mijares on the ropes will also be vital
    in securring the win.

    He also has a chance of a 1 punch KO.

    How could each win?

    They must both try and utilize there game plan and fight there own fight. Attempt to do the things highlighted in the previous section.

    How do you think this fight will play out?

    Mijares will control the bout with his superior footwork and jab. He will be able to keep Munoz at bay with the right jab due to his reach and timing advantage. Cristian will use alot of lateral movement in this fight in order to make Munoz miss and set up counter oppurtunities.

    Alexander Munoz's lack of defence will alow Mijares to pepper him with combinations from the outside and take full advantage of his superior skill set. Due to Cristian's habit of fighting up close at times, Munoz may be able to land some big shots, but he will still be tagged himself due to Mijares's high workrate. Mijares's head movement and ability to roll with punches should allow him to avoid the 1-punch KO up close.

    After tasting a bit of Munoz's power, Mijares will avoid fighting in-close and will instead stay on the outside. There he will remain for most of the fight as he piles up points with the jab and combos. Although Munoz may have his moments when his pressure allows him to land a few shots, it will not be enough to win the fight.


    What is your prediction?

    Mijares UD 9-3/10-2

    I'm gonna make alot of money betting on this fight :yep
     
  2. IntentionalButt

    IntentionalButt FROM THE RIVER TO THE SEA Full Member

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    I want the PPV, which starts at 9pm EST but also don't want to miss any of the HBO tripleheader, which starts at 9:45 (and I hate flipping channels during fights).

    :err
     
  3. Amsterdam

    Amsterdam Boris Christoff Full Member

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    I'm doing the PPV, then catching the HBO re-broadcast on HBO2 a bit later without knowing the result, I'll be well with that.
     
  4. IntentionalButt

    IntentionalButt FROM THE RIVER TO THE SEA Full Member

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    That would be ideal, if the alarm for work didn't go off at 6am on Sunday. :verysad

    I guess there's a replay at 5:30pm...if I can avoid this place until then. :yep
     
  5. Amsterdam

    Amsterdam Boris Christoff Full Member

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    My new schedule is fantastic, the alarm for work goes off at 12:00 PM, get there at 1, come home at 9 on Sunday.;)

    Not a desirable situation.
     
  6. CJLightweight

    CJLightweight Lightweight Kingpin Full Member

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    kindly please have it on video and upload it on youtube together with the gamboa card:smooch
     
  7. BigBone

    BigBone Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Good analisys Jaco! It's the same with me... (either Munoz finds a way with the pressure to make it very competitive or Mijares by wide UD).
     
  8. Caliboxing

    Caliboxing Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I favor Mijares slightly because he is more precise with his punches while Munoz throws long looping shots. Mijares does get hit a bit much though and Munoz can hurt him if he gets careless. This should be a pretty close fight.
     
  9. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    Then how would you explain that the only judge that you agreed with - Adalaide Byrd - who scored it 117-111 gave Hopkins the 114-113 win over Calzaghe? Is she a very good judge or not? Did she get both wrong or both right or did she have a bad day, in which case...when?:p...She seems to like effective punching A LOT! :)

    Rewatched it and scored it: 119-116 for Mijares in a very good, very close fight, in which Mijares proved the better fighter.

    Here's my scorecard:

    r1- draw -
    r2- draw -
    r3
    This content is protected

    r4- draw -
    r5- draw -
    r6
    This content is protected

    r7
    This content is protected

    r8- draw -
    r9- draw -
    r10
    This content is protected

    r11
    This content is protected

    r12- draw -

    Mijares got hit A LOT. He sometimes puts his head down, protects his chin with his hands and waits to be hit on the upperhead. He does get hit like that repeatedly. He does it because he takes time off. He lacks stamina to do his thing for 12 rounds. If he had better stamina, he'd be a better fighter. It's not a question of defence; it's a question of stamina!
     
  10. Amsterdam

    Amsterdam Boris Christoff Full Member

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    Well, you have two serious issue's right away, as rounds 1 and 2 were absolutely clear rounds for Mijares that nobody would disagree on.

    You must have bad video or something, if he got hit a lot, then why did Navarro score at around 18%? Then Mijares up at around 25%, landing 300 or so out of 800.

    You clearly either have a bad video, or simply need to brush up on how to score a fight. The bout was not close, it was a near-domination by Mijares. Navarro was ****ed up by the end of that fight, recquiring extensive medical attention and Mijares only had two small bruises.

    SO.

    Yeah, 8 and 9 can be draws, or for Navarro, but 1 and 2 and 5 are very clear Mijares rounds. Must be the video you have.
     
  11. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    It was a very good image. It must be my scoring. I cannot see how the first two rounds could go to either fighter without robbing the either. No one won the round clearly enough to be given the nod, so it would be unfair to disadvantage the other guy by losing him a round, IMO.

    The fight was close, even though Mijares was the better man - looked it and proved it, throughout the fight. Navarro fought his arse off and gained Mijares' respect. If this fight was not close at all, then fights that are usually scored 9-3 are much, much less close. Ask Mijares if he thought this fight was as easy as the Arce fight...
     
  12. Amsterdam

    Amsterdam Boris Christoff Full Member

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    I'll post the first 2 rounds here, then everybody can view it and score it impartially, they are decisive rounds for Mijares. Mijares controls them, lands more, lands the cleaner and bigger shots and displays a great defensive control.

    No way to even think of calling them Navarro rounds.

    And of course it wasn't as easy as Arce, Navarro presented a worse style for Mijares than Arce. In fact, Navarro's style was more difficult for him than that of a better fighter in Montiel.

    Navarro is actually underrated, he was robbed against Kawashima in Japan sadly.

    But as it stands, 9 rounds to 3, I'll post the first 2 and get some of the best fight scorers in here.
     
  13. Amsterdam

    Amsterdam Boris Christoff Full Member

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    [YT]WinyatCEdIw[/YT]
     
  14. brooklyn1550

    brooklyn1550 Roberto Duran Full Member

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    20-18 Cristian Mijares
     
  15. Decebal

    Decebal Lucian Bute Full Member

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    If I HAD to give the rounds to anyone, I'd give the second one to Mijares because of that one good punch. The first one, I guess I'd give to Mijares too, but only because I couldn't give it a draw. But since, in my view, a draw is a fairer result that a 10-9 round for anyone, I'm sticking with a draw.