Garcia by decision or mid-late stoppage. Nutty pick but I'll go with my heart rather than my head in this one.
Matthysse by ko within 6. Garcia is a slugger who is flat-footed, doesn't know how to clinch to save his life when hurt, and cuts+swells too easy. Matthysse is a boxer/puncher and he showed that against peterson.
Not so crazy, people have been continually picking against Danny at odds about 4-1 using their head...and Danny continues to prove them wrong. It's probably because Danny is doing a whole lot more in ring thinking, strategizing, and planning that couldn't be perceived unless you were in his mind. That's kinda the point where I'm at with him, it seems there's much more than a guy who gets hit a lot, is flat footed, and boxing limited on the surface that people can perceive. I believe he is making small adjustments tailored to his opponents to give him clear victories against opponents he was a clear under dog against.
This is also why I'm picking Danny. That said. I'm not going to be laying any money on it, either...can't wait to see it.
I don't think Danny is that smart. Yes he is improving his game, but he doesn't possess great ring IQ. He mainly tries to counter instead of going offensive, so he doesn't over exert himself. Thus trying to maintain that mighty left hook of his.