This bout should solidify Dawson as the Top Dog at 175. Excluding, Hopkins, of course, whom I consider more of a rogue warrior. :smoke
Tarver doesn't have the workrate to stand any chance of taking a decision. His only shot is to get a KO, which I think is a realistic possibility. Still, I say 80/20 fight in favor of Bad Chad. In fact, I think Dawson stops Tarver late. Antonio looked ready to go against both Hopkins and to a lesser extent Jones (III), but neither of those guys could or would push for it. Dawson also would win a wide decision over Hopkins.
Tarver will lose. He's declined. He's slower, reflexes arent as good. it will be good for a few rounds but Dawson will beat him badly.
Doesn't Dawson have a mandatory first? I think Diaconu's his mandatory after beating Hoye. Might be wrong though?