Yeah sounds about right... Polyakov's last 3 fights have all been close. But there are 4 more rounds here. De Carols 116-112 117-111 type of fight... He's a slight step up from the guys Polyakov has been in with recently.
If Polyakov wins(whether justly or not) he'll almost certainly be served on a platter to the new Ottke - Tyron Zeuge.