Do you feel Canelo has a 45% chance of winning tomorrow?

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by mark ant, Sep 14, 2018.


  1. PernellSweetPea

    PernellSweetPea Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I put it at 40 percent at the most.
     
  2. OvidsExile

    OvidsExile At a minimum, a huckleberry over your persimmon. Full Member

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    Bull****. You could model this fight mathematically a dozen ways. You could take the percentage of times a 36 year old beat a 28 year old, or the number of times a champion has successfully defended his belt, or run the numbers any number of ways. Once you know the relevant details you can figure the odds. That's just basic statistics.
     
  3. heerko koois

    heerko koois Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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  4. Gennady

    Gennady Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Doesn’t matter, anything can happen in this fight. Everyone was predicting a K.O. For the first fight and it was a 12 round chess match ended up in a draw. Who would have thought?
     
  5. Ukansodoff

    Ukansodoff Deontay plz stop ducking Joshua. Thank you. Full Member

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    Yes atleast 45. But not legitimatly ofcourse, legitimatly he has a 30% chance.
     
  6. IsaL

    IsaL VIP Member Full Member

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    younger.... and

    is more accurate
    has better defense
    has better speed
    has more experience
    better foot work
    more versatile

    GGG's best shot is that Canelo's stamina lets him down badly.
     
  7. Wasteman

    Wasteman Certified Wasteman Full Member

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    The first fight was a 50/50 fight in my mind but taking into consideration that Canelo looks considerably smaller now and has been out of the ring for a year I slightly favour Golovkin this time around even in spite of him having aged another year: 60/40.
     
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  8. Jackomano

    Jackomano Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    100% chance if it goes the distance. Oscar most likely bet on the draw in the first fight.
     
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  9. C.J.

    C.J. Boxings Living Legend revered & respected by all Full Member

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    Canelo up by 3 for two judges
     
  10. mark ant

    mark ant Canelo was never athletic Full Member

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    Basically the percentage is like the bookies odds, how close are they in terms of talent, is GGG 55% better than Canelo, like GG would be 100% likely to beat Eubank Jr compared to Canelo having a much better chance, that kind of thinking, you know.
     
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  11. Angler Andrew

    Angler Andrew Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Of course it could but you’ve heard of this before surely?just like prior to Ortiz Wilders opposition were never anything close to 50/50,it’s merely a way of suggesting levels.

    These two guys have been on a collision course for some time and if anything the first fight was unexpected how it went down as Canelo fought a different way to his usual way.

    Do the bookies have Golovkin favourite?all things being equal that’s a good call but with Canelo and his history of scorecards things ain’t equal.
     
  12. Angler Andrew

    Angler Andrew Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Exactly this and if last years run of fights showed anything it’s that 50/50 fights nearly always deliver.
     
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  13. gdm

    gdm Boxing Junkie banned Full Member

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    I give him 80% chance .
     
  14. Nonito Smoak

    Nonito Smoak Ioka>Lomo, sorry my dudes Full Member

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    I'm picking him. So something like: 50% Canelo, 40% Golovkin, 10% Draw.
     
  15. Reg

    Reg Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Everyone with a brain.