Spence UD. I don't like this "new" Porter we saw against Ugas. Instead of coming inside on Ugas, Porter decided to use his legs more and fight on the outside and even fight off his backfoot. I think Porter is way more effective on the inside moving forward, even if he smothers his shots at times. He'll get picked apart from Spence if he fights like he did against Ugas, only this time there will be no dodgy decision going his way. But I can't really see a stoppage. Porter has a good chin and there is nothing suggesting Spence has great punching power. He couldn't even stop or even hurt a LW in his last fight.
He'll get picked apart either way. Coming forward he'll get caught with hooks and uppercuts with his weight over the front foot squared up. Standing off, Spence controls him with the jab and straight left. But he can fight, he'll give it his all but I think Spence showcases here.
You're probably right, I don't see Porter winning either way. However, if he fights on the outside it's about a 0% chance he wins. If he fights coming forward, maybe Porter can hurt Spence and slow him down with body shots. If Porter can make it a dogfight in which case he has a chance at winning. Brook did the same thing against Spence and it was pretty close going into the later rounds. I think this is the only way Porter can win but he also risks getting clipped in the process. But, I think Porter is going to come in with the same gameplan he had against Ugas. It'll save him from getting KTFO but he'll lose a wide decision.
I should have said that, he has a better chance fighting his natural game as opposed to adapting and trying to be too clever. He's got a better shot going after Spence, I just think Spence punishes him for his mistakes and flaws.
Former sparring partners and supposedly good friends. Spence will take it easy on his bud and win a comfortable UD
I would have to give it to Spence by unanimous decision. Porter is durable, and can mix it up. But the aggressive body attack by Spence will be the difference.